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Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 11-01-2026

Moreirense

1 - 0

FT

Tondela

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
scattered clouds 13.77 °C

Prediction published on Jan 9, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Jan 9, 2026 8:02 PM

The postponed fixture from the 16th round of Liga Portugal Betclic brings together Moreirense and Tondela this Sunday at Parque Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00, with the home side looking to close in on the European qualification zone. A victory would move Moreirense within touching distance of the top four, while Tondela desperately need points to climb out of the relegation zone. Both teams enter this clash with clear objectives and plenty of motivation, promising an intense and competitive encounter.


Moreirense’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Moreirense have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season, sitting 7th in Liga Portugal with 24 points after 16 matches. Their campaign has been built on consistency and a solid attacking approach, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. The team recently ended a five-match winless streak with a convincing 2-0 victory over AVS on January 3, a result that restored confidence and kept them within four points of the European spots.


At home, Moreirense have been reliable entertainment for fans, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 11 home matches and at least one goal in the second half in all of them. Their attacking rhythm is led by Guilherme Schettine, already on nine goals this season, supported by creative midfielders Alanzinho and Stjepanovic. Defensively, Maracás and Marcelo provide stability, though the team will have to cope with several absences, including Vasco Sousa, Jorquera, and Dinis Pinto. Both Ofori and Yan Maranhão remain doubtful, forcing coach Vasco da Costa to find tactical alternatives.



  • Ranking: 7th in Liga Portugal

  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 1.8

  • Last result: 2-0 win vs AVS (03/01/2026)


With home advantage and a strong offensive record, Moreirense are expected to take the initiative from the start, pressing high and looking to dominate possession.


Tondela’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Tondela approach this match under pressure, currently sitting 17th in the table with 12 points. Despite their struggles, the team showed signs of recovery in their last outing, defeating Arouca 3-1 on January 3. That victory ended a run of three consecutive defeats and demonstrated their ability to respond when it matters most. Over their last five matches, Tondela have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.


Defensively, the team has been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. However, their attacking efficiency has improved, with players like Pedro Maranhão (three goals) and Christian Marques playing key roles. Goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes remains the only ever-present player in the squad, providing leadership from the back. For this fixture, Tiago Manso is suspended, but Rémy Vita and Yaya Sithole are expected to return after international duty, giving coach Cristiano Bacci more options.



  • Ranking: 17th in Liga Portugal

  • Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.2 | Average conceded: 1.6

  • Last result: 3-1 win vs Arouca (03/01/2026)


Tondela’s main challenge will be to maintain defensive discipline while exploiting counterattacks. Their away form has been inconsistent, but the recent win could serve as a morale boost heading into this crucial fixture.


Match Analysis and Tactical Overview


Historically, matches between these two sides have been balanced, with the last five head-to-head encounters producing 2 wins each and 1 draw. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 in April 2023. Both teams tend to find the net when facing each other, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per side across those games.


Given the current form and statistical trends, this fixture promises attacking football. Moreirense’s home matches consistently deliver goals, while Tondela’s recent improvement in front of goal suggests they can also contribute to the scoreline. The home side are likely to dominate possession and create more chances, but Tondela’s counterattacking potential could make this an open and entertaining contest.


Expect a dynamic game where both teams have opportunities to score, with Moreirense’s offensive momentum clashing against Tondela’s urgency to escape the relegation zone.


BetMines Prediction: Moreirense vs Tondela


Based on the latest data and performance indicators, the BetMines prediction for this match points to Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 51% probability. Moreirense’s attacking consistency at home and Tondela’s recent scoring form make this outcome the most likely scenario for Sunday’s clash.

Moreirense vs Tondela - Predictions

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Moreirense vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Moreirense

Tondela

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Moreirense and Tondela in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

7

Moreirense

34

12

7

15

37:49

43

1.26

W
L
W
L
D
17

Tondela

34

6

10

18

27:55

28

0.82

L
D
W
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Moreirense vs Tondela: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Moreirense vs Tondela be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Moreirense and Tondela will be played on January 11, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Moreirense vs Tondela be played?
The match between Moreirense and Tondela will be played at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos - Portugal
Who will referee Moreirense vs Tondela?
The referee for the match will be Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Moreirense vs Tondela in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Moreirense to win 2.30, draw 3.00, Tondela to win 3.30.
What are the betting odds for Moreirense vs Tondela for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.07 and Under 2.5 at 1.72.
Will both Moreirense and Tondela score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.90, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.90.
What is the most likely correct score for Moreirense vs Tondela in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 5.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Moreirense and Tondela?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Moreirense and Tondela, Moreirense won 2 times, Tondela won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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