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Moreirense
1 - 0
FT
Tondela
Prediction published on Jan 9, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Jan 9, 2026 8:02 PM
The postponed fixture from the 16th round of Liga Portugal Betclic brings together Moreirense and Tondela this Sunday at Parque Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00, with the home side looking to close in on the European qualification zone. A victory would move Moreirense within touching distance of the top four, while Tondela desperately need points to climb out of the relegation zone. Both teams enter this clash with clear objectives and plenty of motivation, promising an intense and competitive encounter.
Moreirense have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season, sitting 7th in Liga Portugal with 24 points after 16 matches. Their campaign has been built on consistency and a solid attacking approach, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. The team recently ended a five-match winless streak with a convincing 2-0 victory over AVS on January 3, a result that restored confidence and kept them within four points of the European spots.
At home, Moreirense have been reliable entertainment for fans, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 11 home matches and at least one goal in the second half in all of them. Their attacking rhythm is led by Guilherme Schettine, already on nine goals this season, supported by creative midfielders Alanzinho and Stjepanovic. Defensively, Maracás and Marcelo provide stability, though the team will have to cope with several absences, including Vasco Sousa, Jorquera, and Dinis Pinto. Both Ofori and Yan Maranhão remain doubtful, forcing coach Vasco da Costa to find tactical alternatives.
With home advantage and a strong offensive record, Moreirense are expected to take the initiative from the start, pressing high and looking to dominate possession.
Tondela approach this match under pressure, currently sitting 17th in the table with 12 points. Despite their struggles, the team showed signs of recovery in their last outing, defeating Arouca 3-1 on January 3. That victory ended a run of three consecutive defeats and demonstrated their ability to respond when it matters most. Over their last five matches, Tondela have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Defensively, the team has been inconsistent, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. However, their attacking efficiency has improved, with players like Pedro Maranhão (three goals) and Christian Marques playing key roles. Goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes remains the only ever-present player in the squad, providing leadership from the back. For this fixture, Tiago Manso is suspended, but Rémy Vita and Yaya Sithole are expected to return after international duty, giving coach Cristiano Bacci more options.
Tondela’s main challenge will be to maintain defensive discipline while exploiting counterattacks. Their away form has been inconsistent, but the recent win could serve as a morale boost heading into this crucial fixture.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been balanced, with the last five head-to-head encounters producing 2 wins each and 1 draw. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 in April 2023. Both teams tend to find the net when facing each other, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per side across those games.
Given the current form and statistical trends, this fixture promises attacking football. Moreirense’s home matches consistently deliver goals, while Tondela’s recent improvement in front of goal suggests they can also contribute to the scoreline. The home side are likely to dominate possession and create more chances, but Tondela’s counterattacking potential could make this an open and entertaining contest.
Expect a dynamic game where both teams have opportunities to score, with Moreirense’s offensive momentum clashing against Tondela’s urgency to escape the relegation zone.
Based on the latest data and performance indicators, the BetMines prediction for this match points to Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 51% probability. Moreirense’s attacking consistency at home and Tondela’s recent scoring form make this outcome the most likely scenario for Sunday’s clash.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Moreirense
Tondela
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1