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Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premiership 15-02-2026

Motherwell

2 - 0

FT

Aberdeen

Fir Park
David Dickinson
rain and snow 3.57 °C

Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 6:02 PM

The postponed Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen finally takes place this Sunday, promising a tense and tactical battle. The hosts enter the fixture as clear favourites, having displayed remarkable consistency throughout the campaign. Meanwhile, the visitors will be eager to bounce back after a difficult run of results and prove they can challenge one of the league’s most disciplined sides. With both teams having drawn their previous encounter, this rematch carries extra intrigue as they fight for crucial points in the Premiership standings.


Motherwell’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Motherwell have been one of the most reliable teams in the Scottish Premiership this season. Their recent 1-1 draw against Rangers extended an impressive unbeaten streak, showing once again their resilience and defensive organisation. Despite being reduced to ten men, they managed to equalise in the final minutes, underlining their fighting spirit. The Well have now avoided defeat in 15 of their last 16 matches, a run that has lifted them to 4th place in the table.


Across their last five fixtures, Motherwell have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. Their season record of 11 wins, 11 draws and only 3 losses reflects a team that rarely falters. Defensively, they have been outstanding, with an average of only 0.7 goals conceded per match. Their ability to control games early is also notable — they have not lost at half time in 22 of their last 24 league matches and have led at the break in seven of their last ten home fixtures.


Low-scoring encounters have been a recurring theme for Motherwell. Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in three of their last 12 Premiership matches, and at least one team has failed to score before half time in each of their last 20 games. This pattern highlights their compact structure and disciplined approach, which often frustrates opponents and limits goal opportunities.


Aberdeen’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Aberdeen approach this match after a long break caused by three consecutive postponements. Their last outing ended in a 3-0 defeat to Kilmarnock, a result that exposed some defensive weaknesses. However, the extended rest period could help them reset and refine their tactics. The Dons currently sit 7th in the Premiership, with a record of 8 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, figures that underline their inconsistency this season.


In their last five matches, Aberdeen have managed two wins and three defeats, scoring 1.4 goals per game but conceding 1.8. Their away form remains unpredictable — they have not drawn in their last 15 away league matches, often alternating between victory and defeat. Moreover, they have lost at half time in six of their last ten Premiership fixtures, suggesting vulnerability in the early stages of matches.


Aberdeen’s games tend to feature plenty of corner kicks, with over 7.5 corners taken in each of their last 16 Premiership matches and over 8.5 corners in 19 of their last 21. However, their attacking efficiency remains a concern, as they have struggled to convert possession into clear chances. At least one team has failed to score before half time in 35 of their last 37 matches, a statistic that mirrors Motherwell’s trend of low-scoring first halves.


Motherwell vs Aberdeen Analysis and Prediction


When these two sides met earlier in the season, the match ended 1-1, a result that reflected their balanced rivalry. Historically, Motherwell have had the upper hand, winning three of the last five meetings while losing only once. Their defensive solidity and home advantage make them difficult to break down, especially against an Aberdeen side that has struggled for consistency on the road.


Expect a cautious start, with both teams focusing on structure rather than risk. Motherwell’s defensive record — the fewest goals conceded in the league — contrasts sharply with Aberdeen’s attacking struggles, as the Dons rank among the lowest in goals scored and chances created. Given these dynamics, another tight contest seems inevitable.


Four of the last five meetings between these clubs have produced fewer than three goals, and both teams’ recent form points in the same direction. Motherwell’s last ten matches have seen under 2.5 goals in nine of them, while six of Aberdeen’s last eight have followed the same pattern. The statistical evidence strongly supports a low-scoring affair.


Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 Goals with 51% probability.

Motherwell vs Aberdeen - Predictions

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Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Motherwell and Aberdeen in Premiership

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

4

Motherwell

33

14

12

7

52:29

54

1.64

L
L
D
L
L
8

Aberdeen

33

9

6

18

33:48

33

1

L
D
L
L
W
Championship Round
Relegation Round

2nd Phase - Championship Group - Ranking

Team

4

Motherwell

38

16

13

9

59:36

61

1.61

W
L
D
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

2nd Phase - Relegation Group - Ranking

Team

3

Aberdeen

38

11

7

20

40:55

40

1.05

W
D
W
L
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Who will win ?

Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Motherwell vs Aberdeen be played?
The Premiership match between Motherwell and Aberdeen will be played on February 15, 2026 at 14:30.
Where will Motherwell vs Aberdeen be played?
The match between Motherwell and Aberdeen will be played at Fir Park, Motherwell - Scotland
Who will referee Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
The referee for the match will be David Dickinson.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Motherwell vs Aberdeen in the Premiership?
The odds are: Motherwell to win 1.60, draw 3.90, Aberdeen to win 5.50.
What are the betting odds for Motherwell vs Aberdeen for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premiership?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Motherwell and Aberdeen score in the Premiership?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Motherwell vs Aberdeen in the Premiership?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Motherwell and Aberdeen?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Motherwell and Aberdeen, Motherwell won 3 times, Aberdeen won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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