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Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premiership 13-05-2026

Motherwell

2 - 3

FT

Celtic

Fir Park
John Beaton
light rain 6.06 °C

Prediction published on May 11, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on May 11, 2026 5:03 PM

The Scottish Premiership Championship Group continues with an intriguing clash between Motherwell and Celtic on matchday 37. The visitors are still in the hunt for the league title, while the hosts aim to secure their European qualification spot. With both sides having clear objectives, this encounter at Fir Park promises to be a competitive and high-intensity fixture.


Motherwell’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Motherwell enter this match sitting fourth in the Premiership standings with 58 points. Although they are no longer in contention for the title, they remain motivated to protect their European position from the chasing pack. Their recent form, however, has been inconsistent. The Steelmen have managed just one win in their last eight league outings, including a 1-1 draw against Hearts on May 9, which extended their winless streak to two matches.


Across their last five fixtures, Motherwell have recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. At home, they have shown strength in the first half, leading at the break in 9 of their last 15 Premiership matches. However, maintaining that advantage against a high-scoring opponent like Celtic will be a major challenge.



  • Ranking: 4th in Premiership

  • Last 5 matches: 1W – 1D – 3L

  • Average goals scored: 1.4 | Conceded: 2.0

  • Season record: W15 – D13 – L8

  • Last result: 1-1 vs Hearts (May 9, 2026)


Motherwell’s main concern will be their defensive stability. Conceding two or more goals in several recent matches has cost them valuable points, and facing one of the league’s most prolific attacks could expose those weaknesses again. Still, their home advantage and ability to start games strongly may give them a fighting chance to frustrate the visitors early on.


Celtic’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Celtic arrive at Fir Park in excellent form and full of confidence. They currently sit second in the Premiership with 76 points, just one behind leaders Hearts. The Hoops have been relentless in their pursuit of the title, winning five consecutive league matches, including a commanding 3-1 victory over Rangers on May 10. Their attacking rhythm and consistency have been key to their late-season surge.


In their last five games, Celtic have registered 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding only 1.0 per match. Over the entire campaign, their record stands at 24 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The visitors have also been remarkably consistent in front of goal, finding the net in 25 of their last 27 Premiership fixtures. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in 23 of their last 24 league games, underlining their attacking intent from the outset.



  • Ranking: 2nd in Premiership

  • Last 5 matches: 4W – 1D – 0L

  • Average goals scored: 2.2 | Conceded: 1.0

  • Season record: W24 – D4 – L8

  • Last result: 3-1 vs Rangers (May 10, 2026)


Another notable trend is Celtic’s ability to avoid stalemates — they have not drawn in 25 of their last 27 league matches. Their attacking efficiency and resilience away from home have also been impressive, losing just once in their last eight away games (W5, D2). With the title race finely poised, every point counts, and Celtic will be determined to extend their winning streak to six matches.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, Celtic have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have won four times, with Motherwell claiming just one victory. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Celtic on March 14, 2026. Across those games, the Hoops have averaged 2.6 goals scored per match, while Motherwell have managed 1.2.


Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is expected to feature goals. The data shows a 58% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for Both Teams To Score (Yes). Motherwell’s defensive vulnerabilities and Celtic’s attacking momentum suggest that an open, entertaining contest could unfold. However, the visitors’ superior quality and consistency make them the favorites to secure another crucial victory.


Motherwell will likely rely on their home energy and early pressure to unsettle Celtic, while the visitors will aim to control possession and exploit spaces through their fluid attacking play. If Celtic maintain their recent scoring rhythm, they could take command early and manage the game efficiently from there.


Motherwell vs Celtic Prediction


All indicators point toward a competitive but ultimately favorable outcome for Celtic. Their recent performances, attacking statistics, and head-to-head dominance underline their superiority. Motherwell’s home advantage might help them stay in contention during the first half, but sustaining that intensity against a title-chasing side will be difficult.


Based on the available data and probabilities, the most likely scenario is a Celtic win (2). The visitors’ 45% win probability, combined with their five-match winning streak and strong away record, reinforces this prediction. Expect goals from both sides, but Celtic’s efficiency in front of goal should make the difference.


Motherwell vs Celtic prediction from BetMines: Celtic win (2) with 45% probability.

Motherwell vs Celtic - Predictions

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Motherwell vs Celtic: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Motherwell

Celtic

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Motherwell and Celtic in Premiership

2nd Phase - Championship Group - Ranking

Team

1

Celtic

38

26

4

8

73:41

82

2.16

W
W
W
W
W
4

Motherwell

38

16

13

9

59:36

61

1.61

W
L
D
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Who will win ?

Motherwell vs Celtic: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Motherwell vs Celtic be played?
The Premiership match between Motherwell and Celtic will be played on May 13, 2026 at 19:00.
Where will Motherwell vs Celtic be played?
The match between Motherwell and Celtic will be played at Fir Park, Motherwell - Scotland
Who will referee Motherwell vs Celtic?
The referee for the match will be John Beaton.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Motherwell vs Celtic in the Premiership?
The odds are: Motherwell to win 5.00, draw 4.50, Celtic to win 1.57.
What are the betting odds for Motherwell vs Celtic for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premiership?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.50.
Will both Motherwell and Celtic score in the Premiership?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.57, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.25.
What is the most likely correct score for Motherwell vs Celtic in the Premiership?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Motherwell and Celtic?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Motherwell and Celtic, Motherwell won 1 times, Celtic won 4, and 0 ended in a draw.

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