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Prediction published on May 11, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on May 11, 2026 5:03 PM
The Scottish Premiership Championship Group continues with an intriguing clash between Motherwell and Celtic on matchday 37. The visitors are still in the hunt for the league title, while the hosts aim to secure their European qualification spot. With both sides having clear objectives, this encounter at Fir Park promises to be a competitive and high-intensity fixture.
Motherwell enter this match sitting fourth in the Premiership standings with 58 points. Although they are no longer in contention for the title, they remain motivated to protect their European position from the chasing pack. Their recent form, however, has been inconsistent. The Steelmen have managed just one win in their last eight league outings, including a 1-1 draw against Hearts on May 9, which extended their winless streak to two matches.
Across their last five fixtures, Motherwell have recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 15 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. At home, they have shown strength in the first half, leading at the break in 9 of their last 15 Premiership matches. However, maintaining that advantage against a high-scoring opponent like Celtic will be a major challenge.
Motherwell’s main concern will be their defensive stability. Conceding two or more goals in several recent matches has cost them valuable points, and facing one of the league’s most prolific attacks could expose those weaknesses again. Still, their home advantage and ability to start games strongly may give them a fighting chance to frustrate the visitors early on.
Celtic arrive at Fir Park in excellent form and full of confidence. They currently sit second in the Premiership with 76 points, just one behind leaders Hearts. The Hoops have been relentless in their pursuit of the title, winning five consecutive league matches, including a commanding 3-1 victory over Rangers on May 10. Their attacking rhythm and consistency have been key to their late-season surge.
In their last five games, Celtic have registered 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding only 1.0 per match. Over the entire campaign, their record stands at 24 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The visitors have also been remarkably consistent in front of goal, finding the net in 25 of their last 27 Premiership fixtures. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in 23 of their last 24 league games, underlining their attacking intent from the outset.
Another notable trend is Celtic’s ability to avoid stalemates — they have not drawn in 25 of their last 27 league matches. Their attacking efficiency and resilience away from home have also been impressive, losing just once in their last eight away games (W5, D2). With the title race finely poised, every point counts, and Celtic will be determined to extend their winning streak to six matches.
Historically, Celtic have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have won four times, with Motherwell claiming just one victory. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Celtic on March 14, 2026. Across those games, the Hoops have averaged 2.6 goals scored per match, while Motherwell have managed 1.2.
Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is expected to feature goals. The data shows a 58% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for Both Teams To Score (Yes). Motherwell’s defensive vulnerabilities and Celtic’s attacking momentum suggest that an open, entertaining contest could unfold. However, the visitors’ superior quality and consistency make them the favorites to secure another crucial victory.
Motherwell will likely rely on their home energy and early pressure to unsettle Celtic, while the visitors will aim to control possession and exploit spaces through their fluid attacking play. If Celtic maintain their recent scoring rhythm, they could take command early and manage the game efficiently from there.
All indicators point toward a competitive but ultimately favorable outcome for Celtic. Their recent performances, attacking statistics, and head-to-head dominance underline their superiority. Motherwell’s home advantage might help them stay in contention during the first half, but sustaining that intensity against a title-chasing side will be difficult.
Based on the available data and probabilities, the most likely scenario is a Celtic win (2). The visitors’ 45% win probability, combined with their five-match winning streak and strong away record, reinforces this prediction. Expect goals from both sides, but Celtic’s efficiency in front of goal should make the difference.
Motherwell vs Celtic prediction from BetMines: Celtic win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Motherwell
Celtic
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
7
3
9
1