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Prediction published on Oct 24, 2026 2:02 AM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Oct 24, 2026 2:02 AM
Motherwell host Hearts at Fir Park on October 25 in the 10th round of the Scottish Premiership. The teams arrive with contrasting league records: Motherwell are 10th after five consecutive defeats, while Hearts are third, eight points ahead of their hosts. Neither side has had an easy build-up. Motherwell lost 3-2 at Kilmarnock in their latest match, and Hearts have suffered successive defeats against Celtic and Trabzonspor. With the hosts conceding regularly and Hearts involved in a long sequence of games featuring at least two goals, this Motherwell vs Hearts preview focuses on whether either defence can regain control.
Motherwell have taken no points from their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 2.4 per game across that run. Their 3-2 defeat at Kilmarnock on October 17 extended the losing streak to five. They have also allowed at least two goals in each of their last four outings, making defensive improvement an immediate priority against a Hearts side that has scored in each of its last 17 Premiership matches.
Results across a wider stretch offer little reassurance for the home side. Motherwell have avoided defeat only twice in their last 10 matches, winning one of them, and failed to score in three of their latest five games. That combination leaves them needing more than a response at the back: they must also find a way to sustain an attacking threat. Their Premiership record stands at two wins, two draws and five losses, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
Fir Park gives Motherwell a chance to interrupt their slide, although their home fixtures have not followed a single scoring pattern. Two of their last 10 Premiership home matches ended with no goals scored by either team. Their most recent result, by contrast, featured five goals. Against Hearts, avoiding another early setback would help Motherwell stay in the contest, but their recent scoring record shows why a goal cannot be taken for granted.
Hearts travel to Fir Park after a difficult few days. A 7-1 league defeat at Celtic was followed by a 2-0 loss to Trabzonspor on October 22. They are winless in three consecutive matches, while their last five have produced one win, two draws and two defeats. Across those five games, Hearts have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, figures that underline both their capacity to score and their recent vulnerability.
Their Premiership season record is stronger than Motherwell's: five wins, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Hearts have found the net in each of their last 17 league matches. Their games have also repeatedly featured goals at both ends of the 90 minutes: each of their last 26 matches has contained more than 1.5 total goals, as have their last 14 away matches.
There are nevertheless reasons for caution about Hearts away from home. They have gone four away games without a win, even though they scored in three of those four fixtures. They have conceded at least once in each of their last 12 Premiership away matches and have been behind at half-time in their last three away games. For a side trying to recover from back-to-back defeats, a better start could be particularly valuable.
The recent head-to-head record favours Hearts, who have lost only one of their last 10 meetings with Motherwell and are unbeaten in the last seven. From Motherwell's perspective, their most recent five-match head-to-head record is two defeats and three draws, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The latest meeting, on May 9, finished 1-1. Motherwell also failed to score in five of their last nine encounters with Hearts, a concern alongside their current attacking form.
Still, the visitors' stronger league position does not remove the possibility of a competitive game. Motherwell scored twice in their most recent defeat, while Hearts have conceded in 12 straight Premiership away matches. At the other end, Motherwell's average of 2.4 goals conceded across their last five games meets a Hearts league scoring streak of 17 matches. Those records point to opportunities for Hearts without suggesting that their own defence is secure.
Goals have been a recurring feature of Hearts matches: their last 16 Premiership fixtures have all produced more than 1.5 total goals, and their last 11 league games have each featured a second-half goal. The pattern extends to their away league matches, where each of the last 11 has had a first-half goal. Motherwell need a result to stop their losing run, while Hearts are seeking a response to their recent defeats. Given both teams' defensive numbers, the total-goals market offers a clearer reading of this fixture than either side's league position alone.
Motherwell vs Hearts prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Motherwell
Hearts
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2