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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 7:06 PM by Dario in Poland - Ekstraklasa | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 7:13 PM
The upcoming Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Widzew Lodz promises to be an open and entertaining encounter. Scheduled for Friday, October 24, 2025, this fixture brings together two sides with contrasting fortunes but similar defensive concerns. Motor Lublin, currently sitting in the lower part of the table, are desperate to halt their poor run of form, while Widzew Lodz aim to consolidate their mid-table position and push closer to the European qualification spots. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, but their defensive fragility has often overshadowed their offensive efforts.
Motor Lublin enter this match in a difficult situation, having failed to win any of their last five league games. Their recent 2-5 defeat against Katowice on October 17 highlighted once again the defensive issues that have plagued them throughout the campaign. Over those five matches, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded 2.2 per game, a ratio that clearly explains their current struggles. In the overall season record, Motor have collected 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while allowing 1.9 per match.
Despite their defensive problems, Motor Lublin’s games are rarely dull. In fact, Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 37 of their last 38 Ekstraklasa matches, and goals in the second half have occurred in 20 of their last 22 league fixtures. This trend underlines their tendency to be involved in high-scoring affairs, often with late drama. Their matches also feature plenty of action from set pieces, with Over 8.5 corners recorded in 22 of their last 24 league games. However, the team’s inability to maintain defensive discipline has cost them valuable points, leaving them near the relegation zone.
Widzew Lodz approach this fixture in better shape, sitting eighth in the Ekstraklasa standings. Their recent 3-2 victory over Radomiak Radom on October 17 demonstrated their attacking prowess but also exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Over their last five matches, Widzew have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Like their opponents, Widzew’s matches are often lively. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 games, and both teams have found the net in the second half of each of their last four away fixtures. This pattern suggests that Widzew are capable of both scoring and conceding, particularly when playing on the road. Their attacking line has been productive, but the defense remains inconsistent, which could make this trip to Lublin more challenging than expected. Historically, Widzew have had a slight edge in this matchup, winning two of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 victory in April 2025.
This fixture brings together two teams that share similar strengths and weaknesses. Both sides are comfortable going forward but struggle to maintain defensive solidity. Motor Lublin will rely on their home support to find some stability and end their winless streak, while Widzew Lodz will look to exploit the hosts’ defensive lapses with their quick transitions and attacking depth. Given the recent form of both teams, goals seem almost inevitable.
Motor’s main challenge will be to tighten their backline, which has conceded heavily in recent weeks. Their ability to score is not in question, but their defensive organization often collapses under pressure. Widzew, on the other hand, have shown resilience in attack but remain vulnerable when defending set pieces and counterattacks. The combination of these factors points toward a match where both teams are likely to create — and concede — several chances.
Historically, encounters between these two sides have been competitive and entertaining, with an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five meetings. The most recent clash ended 2-1 in favor of Widzew, and given the current form of both teams, a similar scoreline would not be surprising. The attacking intent of both managers, coupled with their teams’ defensive inconsistencies, suggests that this could once again be a high-scoring contest.
The statistical trends and current form of both teams point toward an open game with goals on both ends. The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 64% probability. Both sides have been involved in matches where goals are frequent, and neither defense has shown the solidity required to keep a clean sheet.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Motor Lublin
Widzew Lodz
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0