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Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Pro 11-07-2026

Mushuc Runa

7:10 PM

July 11, 2026

Independiente del Valle

Estadio Municipal La Cocha
Gorky Araujo Zambrano
light rain °C

Prediction published on Jul 9, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Ecuador - Liga Pro | Modified on Jul 9, 2026 8:02 PM

The upcoming Liga Pro clash between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. The home side will look to build on their recent 3-2 away victory over Universidad Católica, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position at the top of the table. Both teams have shown contrasting forms this season, with Mushuc Runa fighting to move away from the lower half and Independiente del Valle maintaining a dominant lead in the standings. Given their recent scoring trends, fans can expect an open and entertaining encounter.


Mushuc Runa’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Mushuc Runa approach this match after a morale-boosting 2-3 win against Universidad Católica on July 6, 2026. That result ended a run of mixed performances, as their last five matches have produced 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The team averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game in that stretch, reflecting both attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.


Across the Liga Pro season, Mushuc Runa’s record stands at 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Despite their mid-table position, they have shown resilience at home — remarkably, they haven’t lost at half time in their last 17 home fixtures, including 16 consecutive matches in Liga Pro. However, their matches at home often start cautiously, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 3 of their last 10 home games.


In terms of entertainment value, Mushuc Runa have been involved in several high-scoring contests recently. Four of their last six matches have ended with Over 2.5 total goals, suggesting that their attacking approach could again lead to an open contest. Their last head-to-head meeting with Independiente del Valle ended in a 3-1 defeat on March 7, 2026, but they will hope to reverse that outcome this time around.


Independiente del Valle’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Independiente del Valle continue to dominate the Liga Pro, sitting firmly at the top of the table with 13 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their attacking power has been the cornerstone of their success, averaging 2.1 goals scored per match while conceding only 1.1. In their most recent outing, they secured a 0-2 away victory over Santo Domingo on July 8, 2026, further underlining their consistency.


The visitors have been in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and losing just once. They have not drawn in their last 15 games, a sign of their aggressive and decisive playing style. Away from home, Independiente del Valle have also been strong starters, winning at half time in their last 3 away fixtures in Liga Pro. Overall, they have avoided defeat at half time in 26 of their last 29 matches, showing remarkable focus and control from the opening whistle.


With 36 goals scored in 17 rounds, Independiente del Valle boast the most prolific attack in the competition. Their ability to create and convert chances has made them a constant threat, and their matches often feature multiple goals. Given that 10 of their league fixtures have ended with Over 2.5 goals, another high-scoring game could be on the cards.


Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Analysis


This fixture brings together two sides with very different objectives but a shared tendency toward open football. Mushuc Runa’s recent improvement in attack, combined with Independiente del Valle’s relentless offensive rhythm, suggests a match full of goalmouth action. The home side will rely on their strong first-half record to stay competitive early on, while the visitors’ efficiency in front of goal could prove decisive as the game progresses.


Historically, this matchup has produced goals — the last three meetings between these teams have all finished with Over 2.5 total goals. Mushuc Runa’s defensive fragility may again be tested by the league leaders’ attacking prowess, but their fighting spirit and home advantage could help them stay in contention. With Independiente del Valle’s current form and Mushuc Runa’s need for points, this encounter is expected to deliver plenty of excitement for neutral fans and bettors alike.


BetMines Prediction


Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 47% probability.

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle - Predictions

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Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle in Liga Pro

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Independiente del Valle

17

13

1

3

36:18

40

2.35

W
W
L
W
W
12

Mushuc Runa

17

5

6

6

22:23

21

1.24

L
L
D
D
W
Championship Round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round

Who will win ?

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle be played?
The Liga Pro match between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle will be played on July 11, 2026 at 19:10.
Where will Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle be played?
The match between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle will be played at Estadio Municipal La Cocha, Latacunga - Ecuador
Who will referee Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle?
The referee for the match will be Gorky Araujo Zambrano.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro?
The odds are: Mushuc Runa to win 3.90, draw 3.50, Independiente del Valle to win 1.83.
What are the betting odds for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Pro?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.95 and Under 2.5 at 1.85.
Will both Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle score in the Liga Pro?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.83, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.83.
What is the most likely correct score for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle in the Liga Pro?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle, Mushuc Runa won 1 times, Independiente del Valle won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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