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Prediction published on Jan 7, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 7, 2026 9:02 PM
The Eerste Divisie returns with an intriguing clash as MVV Maastricht host Almere City on January 9, 2026. The home side currently sit 16th in the standings, while the visitors occupy 6th place. Both teams closed 2025 in contrasting fashion: MVV struggled for consistency, whereas Almere City ended the year in superb form. The match at De Geusselt promises to be a test of resilience for the hosts and a chance for the visitors to extend their winning momentum.
MVV Maastricht approach this fixture after a mixed run of results. Their last five matches produced two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The most recent setback came in a heavy 4-0 loss against SC Cambuur on December 19, 2025. Despite occasional flashes of attacking promise, defensive frailties have often undermined their efforts.
Across the season, MVV’s record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. Their home form has been inconsistent, and they will need to tighten up defensively to avoid another difficult evening. The last head-to-head meeting between these sides ended in a 4-0 defeat for MVV, a result they will be eager to avenge in front of their supporters.
Almere City have been one of the most in-form sides in the Eerste Divisie. They closed 2025 with five consecutive victories, including a 4-2 win over FC Emmen on December 20 and a cup triumph away to Fortuna Sittard (3-2). Their attacking power has been impressive, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last five matches. Over the course of the season, Almere City have recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per game.
Key attacking figures such as Julian Rijkhoff and Byron Burgering have been instrumental in their success. Rijkhoff has already netted ten goals and provided two assists, while Burgering has contributed eight goals and four assists. Their partnership has made Almere City one of the most dangerous attacking units in the division.
This encounter brings together two teams with very different trajectories. MVV Maastricht have struggled to find consistency, particularly in defense, while Almere City have been relentless in attack. The visitors’ ability to score in virtually every match makes them a constant threat, especially in the second half, where they have consistently found the net in recent weeks.
Historically, Almere City have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings. MVV’s challenge will be to contain the visitors’ offensive duo and avoid an early setback that could tilt the balance. Given the current form and scoring trends, this match could feature multiple goals, with Almere City likely to dominate possession and create the better chances.
For MVV, the key will be to stay compact and exploit counterattacks, but their defensive record suggests that keeping a clean sheet will be difficult. Almere City’s attacking rhythm and confidence make them favorites to extend their winning streak.
BetMines prediction: Almere City win (2) with a 42% probability. The draw is estimated at 24%, while a home win for MVV Maastricht stands at 35%. Given Almere City’s strong offensive form and MVV’s defensive vulnerabilities, the visitors are expected to claim another victory in this Eerste Divisie encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
MVV Maastricht
Almere City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
1
9
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3