The upcoming clash in the lower part of the Eerste Divisie promises to be a tense and decisive encounter. MVV Maastricht will host Helmond Sport at De Geusselt, with both sides desperate to end a difficult season on a positive note. With only a few matches remaining, every point could prove crucial in avoiding the bottom of the table. The home team currently sits 17th with 36 points, while the visitors occupy 19th place with 35 points. The narrow gap between them ensures that this fixture carries significant weight for both clubs.

MVV Maastricht’s Recent Form and Key Stats

MVV Maastricht have struggled to find consistency in recent weeks. Their last five matches have produced one win, one draw, and three defeats, including a 2-1 loss against FC Emmen on April 6, 2026. The team has averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game during this run, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them valuable points. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match.

Despite their struggles, MVV’s matches have been entertaining for neutrals. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 17 league games, and they have conceded at least once in all of those fixtures. Moreover, the second half tends to be particularly lively — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 28 of their last 31 matches. These trends suggest that MVV’s games rarely lack action, even if results have not gone their way.

• Ranking: 17th in Eerste Divisie


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded


• Over 1.5 goals: in last 17 matches


• Conceded in: last 17 matches

At home, MVV will be eager to rediscover their early-season form and use the support of their fans to secure a much-needed victory. Their attacking play has shown flashes of promise, but defensive lapses have repeatedly undermined their efforts. A solid performance at De Geusselt could help them move further away from the relegation zone.

Helmond Sport’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Helmond Sport have endured a similarly tough campaign. They currently sit 19th in the standings, with a record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats. The team’s recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last five outings — two draws and three losses. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw against RKC Waalwijk on April 6, 2026. During this period, they have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, indicating both attacking struggles and defensive instability.

Helmond Sport’s season-long statistics paint a picture of a team that has found it difficult to maintain balance between attack and defense. On average, they score 1.1 goals per match while conceding 1.7. Their inability to convert draws into wins has been a major factor in their low league position. However, their resilience in recent draws shows that they remain competitive, even against stronger opponents.

• Ranking: 19th in Eerste Divisie


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.7 conceded


• Last result: 2-2 vs RKC Waalwijk

Helmond Sport will approach this fixture knowing that a win could lift them above MVV in the table. Their previous head-to-head meeting earlier in the season ended in a 4-2 victory for Helmond, proving that they can be dangerous when their attack clicks. However, replicating that performance away from home will require greater defensive discipline and sharper finishing in front of goal.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent history between MVV Maastricht and Helmond Sport has been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, MVV have won three times, while Helmond have claimed two victories. The average scoreline across these meetings has been lively, with MVV averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their most recent clash, on December 5, 2025, ended 4-2 in favor of Helmond Sport, suggesting that goals are likely once again when these sides meet.

Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses throughout the season, which could lead to another open and high-scoring contest. MVV’s tendency to concede in nearly every match, combined with Helmond’s struggles to keep clean sheets, points toward a game where both sides find the net. The home advantage may give MVV a slight edge, especially given their need to respond after three consecutive defeats.

From a tactical standpoint, MVV will likely focus on pressing high and exploiting Helmond’s defensive gaps, while the visitors may rely on counterattacks and set pieces to create chances. Given the stakes, expect an intense battle where small details could decide the outcome.

MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport Prediction

Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this match is expected to feature goals at both ends. MVV’s attacking output at home and Helmond’s ability to score away suggest that neither defense will keep a clean sheet. The overall data also supports a high probability of multiple goals being scored.

MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport prediction from BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 61% probability.