The upcoming Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and Excelsior promises to be a tense and potentially decisive encounter in the lower half of the table. Scheduled for February 6 at the Rat Verlegh Stadion, this Round 22 fixture brings together two sides struggling to find consistency but still capable of producing entertaining football. With NAC Breda sitting 17th and Excelsior 13th in the standings, both teams are desperate to secure points that could prove vital in the battle to avoid relegation.

NAC Breda’s Recent Form and Key Stats

NAC Breda enter this match still searching for a way to turn competitive performances into victories. Their recent 2-2 draws against FC Twente and PSV have shown resilience and attacking potential, but defensive lapses continue to cost them dearly. The team has failed to win any of their last five matches, recording three draws and two defeats, while averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, NAC have managed just three wins, alongside seven draws and eleven losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Defensive fragility remains a major concern. The Breda side have conceded at least one goal in 31 of their last 33 matches, underlining the need for greater concentration at the back. Even at home, they have often struggled to maintain control, losing at half time in six of their last ten fixtures. Despite these issues, their recent performances against top teams suggest that NAC can still compete when properly organized and motivated. The challenge now is to rediscover the clinical edge that has been missing in front of goal and to convert draws into much-needed wins.

• Ranking: 17th in Eredivisie


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded


• Conceded in: 31 of last 33 matches


• Last result: 2-2 vs FC Twente (Jan 30, 2026)

Excelsior’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Excelsior arrive in Breda with a similarly inconsistent record. Their 2-2 draw against Ajax on February 1 highlighted their ability to challenge stronger opponents, yet their defensive record remains a weakness. The visitors have gone five matches without a win, drawing four and losing one, while averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over the season, Excelsior have collected six wins, five draws, and ten defeats, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per match and conceding 1.8.

While their attacking play has shown flashes of creativity, particularly in high-scoring draws, their defensive structure often collapses under sustained pressure. Away from home, Excelsior have struggled to impose themselves, with two of their last ten away matches producing under 0.5 total goals — a sign of inconsistency in front of goal. The team’s inability to close out matches has cost them valuable points, and they will need to find a balance between defensive discipline and attacking ambition if they are to secure a positive result in Breda.

• Ranking: 13th in Eredivisie


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded


• Last result: 2-2 vs Ajax (Feb 1, 2026)


• Season record: 6 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent meetings between NAC Breda and Excelsior have been evenly balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five encounters. The most recent clash ended 1-0 in November 2025, showing that both sides are capable of tight, low-scoring battles. Historically, these fixtures tend to produce goals, with an average of 2.6 scored and 2.0 conceded across their head-to-head record.

Tactically, NAC Breda are expected to focus on controlling possession and exploiting Excelsior’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly through quick transitions and set pieces. Their main challenge will be maintaining defensive organization while pushing forward. Excelsior, on the other hand, will likely rely on compact defending and counterattacks, aiming to take advantage of NAC’s tendency to concede early. Both teams have shown a pattern of conceding and scoring in equal measure, suggesting that this could be another open and unpredictable contest.

• Head-to-head record: NAC Breda 2 wins · Draws 1 · Excelsior 2 wins


• Last meeting: NAC Breda 1–0 Excelsior (Nov 29, 2025)


• Average goals per match: 4.6 total (2.6 scored, 2.0 conceded)

Match Analysis and Prediction

Both teams enter this fixture under pressure to deliver a win after a series of draws that have stalled their progress. NAC Breda’s home advantage and recent resilience against stronger sides could give them a slight psychological edge, but Excelsior’s counterattacking threat cannot be underestimated. Given the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and their recent scoring patterns, goals at both ends seem likely.

According to the latest data, NAC Breda have a 47% chance of winning, while Excelsior’s probability stands at 27%, with a 26% likelihood of a draw. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market appears particularly appealing, supported by a 55% probability, while the Over 2.5 goals option also holds value at 52%. With both sides struggling to keep clean sheets and showing attacking intent, this match could deliver another entertaining scoreline.

NAC Breda vs Excelsior prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.