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NAC Breda
4 - 2
FT
FC Eindhoven
Prediction published on Sep 24, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Sep 24, 2026 6:05 PM
NAC Breda host FC Eindhoven at the Rat Verlegh Stadion on September 26, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The Eerste Divisie fixture brings together two closely matched teams after seven league games. NAC Breda sit 11th with ten points, while FC Eindhoven are 12th with the same total but an inferior goal difference. Both sides have recorded three wins, one draw and three defeats, making this a direct contest for the higher position. Recent results have also followed similar patterns, although the visitors arrive after consecutive victories. With both teams scoring and conceding regularly, the match could provide plenty of attacking action.
NAC Breda have experienced an inconsistent opening to the Eerste Divisie season. Their record of three victories, one draw and three losses underlines the difficulty they have had in building sustained momentum. However, they enter this match after earning a 2-1 away victory against De Graafschap on September 20, a result that moved them onto ten points.
The home side have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches. That sequence included a 3-2 victory over Jong Ajax, a 2-2 draw with Roda JC, a 4-2 loss against RKC Waalwijk and a 3-2 defeat to Jong FC Utrecht, before the latest success against De Graafschap. These scorelines illustrate how frequently NAC Breda have been involved in open contests.
Across those five games, NAC Breda averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Their broader league numbers remain similarly attack-oriented, with averages of 1.9 goals scored and 2.1 allowed per match. The balance between productive attacking play and defensive vulnerability has been central to their results so far.
Another notable trend is that the last 12 NAC Breda matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals. Their four most recently listed results alone contained four, six, five and three goals respectively. While playing at home offers NAC Breda the opportunity to take the initiative, their concession rate suggests that controlling the contest may be just as important as creating chances.
FC Eindhoven arrive with exactly the same league record as their hosts: three wins, one draw and three defeats. They are placed one position below NAC Breda because of goal difference, so a positive result would be particularly valuable in this direct meeting. Their most recent performance ended in a 3-1 victory over FC Emmen on September 18.
The visitors have also registered two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five fixtures. They were beaten 5-2 by FC Den Bosch and 3-1 by Heracles Almelo, before keeping a clean sheet in a 0-0 draw with Jong FC Utrecht. FC Eindhoven then improved their results by defeating FC Dordrecht 2-1 and FC Emmen 3-1. Consecutive wins give them a more encouraging immediate sequence, even though their overall five-match record is identical to that of NAC Breda.
FC Eindhoven scored an average of 1.6 goals per game during their last five matches while conceding 2.0. Their season averages are almost unchanged, standing at 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded. Those numbers indicate that the visitors have regularly found the net, but they have also allowed opponents enough opportunities to keep matches competitive.
The second half could be especially significant. At least one goal after the interval has been scored in 20 of FC Eindhoven's last 21 Eerste Divisie matches. This long-running trend points towards the possibility of the game remaining active late on, particularly if either side needs to chase the result.
There is little separating the teams in terms of results. Both have ten points, identical win-draw-loss records and the same return of two victories, one draw and two defeats from their latest five outings. NAC Breda have produced the stronger scoring average over that recent period, but they have also conceded more often than FC Eindhoven.
The available goal statistics make an open match a realistic prospect. NAC Breda's recent games average 4.6 total goals when their scoring and concession figures are combined, while FC Eindhoven's corresponding five-match figures combine for 3.6. Their season averages also point in the same direction: NAC Breda's league matches have featured 4.0 goals per game on average, compared with 3.5 in FC Eindhoven fixtures.
The head-to-head summary is equally balanced from NAC Breda's perspective, with two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across that sample, they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest meeting ended in a 2-0 result on July 8, 2026. Although that encounter did not follow the higher-scoring pattern seen in many of the teams' more recent league results, the wider statistics ahead of this fixture favour goal activity.
NAC Breda carry a 56% win probability, compared with 22% for the draw and 22% for an FC Eindhoven victory. Nevertheless, the goal markets receive substantial statistical support: the probability for both teams to score is 59%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 62%. Given NAC Breda's strong recent scoring output, FC Eindhoven's consecutive wins and the concession averages on both sides, the total-goals angle provides the most coherent conclusion.
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
6
4
8
2