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Prediction published on Oct 17, 2025 2:08 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 17, 2025 2:11 PM
The VriendenLoterij Eredivisie continues on October 18, 2025, as NAC Breda host PEC Zwolle at the Rat Verlegh Stadion for the ninth round of the season. Both sides are struggling near the bottom of the table, with NAC sitting 15th and PEC Zwolle just behind in 16th place. This encounter could prove pivotal for both teams as they look to gain momentum and move away from the relegation zone. Recent results suggest a tense and open contest, with both clubs eager to end their inconsistent runs and secure three crucial points.
NAC Breda enter this fixture after a 1-2 defeat against FC Groningen on October 3. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last six league matches. Over the last five games, NAC have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Across the season, their record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Defensive issues have been a recurring theme for the Breda side. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 Eredivisie matches, underlining their vulnerability at the back. However, their games rarely lack entertainment — Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 matches, and in 38 of their last 39 league fixtures. This trend suggests that NAC’s matches are almost guaranteed to produce goals, even if their defense remains a concern.
Despite their struggles, there have been glimpses of improvement. A 2-2 draw against FC Twente showed attacking promise, while their home advantage at the Rat Verlegh Stadion could play a decisive role. Coach’s tactical adjustments after the international break are expected to focus on tightening the defense while maintaining offensive intent. Kongolo and Soumano remain sidelined through injury, but the rest of the squad is fit and ready to feature.
PEC Zwolle have endured a difficult start to the campaign, failing to win any of their last eight matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-4 defeat to PSV Eindhoven on October 4, further exposing their defensive frailties. Over their last five games, PEC have managed 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 2.6 per game. Their overall season record mirrors NAC’s, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, but their goal difference is worse due to heavy losses against top sides like Ajax and PSV.
PEC Zwolle’s matches have also been high-scoring affairs. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 27 Eredivisie games, and Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in their last 13 away fixtures. Moreover, the second half tends to be lively — Over 0.5 goals have been scored after halftime in 22 of their last 24 matches. These numbers highlight a team that often concedes late and struggles to maintain defensive discipline throughout the 90 minutes.
Injuries continue to affect the visitors, with Valanas, van der Haar, and Buurmeester unavailable. However, several players return from international duty, which could provide a slight boost. PEC’s tactical approach is expected to mirror NAC’s — taking more risks in attack to try and seize an early advantage. Yet, their lack of confidence and defensive instability remain major obstacles to turning performances into results.
When two struggling teams meet, unpredictability often defines the outcome. NAC Breda will rely on their home support to push forward aggressively, hoping to exploit PEC Zwolle’s fragile defense. Conversely, PEC will aim to capitalize on NAC’s own defensive lapses, which have cost them points throughout the season. Both sides have shown weaknesses at the back, but also flashes of attacking potential, suggesting that this could be an open and entertaining encounter.
Historically, the head-to-head record slightly favors PEC Zwolle, who have won three of the last five meetings, including a 3-1 victory in May 2025. NAC have managed two wins in that span, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match while conceding 1.8. Given these figures and the current form of both teams, another goal-filled contest appears likely.
For NAC, the key will be maintaining composure in defense while taking advantage of their attacking opportunities. For PEC, rediscovering their scoring touch and avoiding early setbacks will be crucial. Both teams are desperate for points, and that urgency could lead to an open game with chances at both ends.
NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3