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Prediction published on Dec 18, 2025 9:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Dec 18, 2025 9:05 PM
The seventeenth round of the Eredivisie brings a crucial relegation battle as NAC Breda host SC Telstar at the Rat Verlegh Stadion on December 20. With both sides occupying the bottom two positions in the table, this fixture could prove decisive in their fight for survival. NAC sit 17th, just one place above Telstar, and both teams enter the match desperate for points to revive their seasons.
NAC Breda have endured a worrying run of results, failing to win any of their last five league matches. Their recent 1-1 draw against FC Utrecht ended a streak of four consecutive defeats, but the overall picture remains bleak. The team’s attacking struggles are evident, averaging only 0.4 goals scored per game in their last five outings while conceding 1.2 on average. Over the course of the season, NAC have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, scoring 1.0 goal per match and conceding 1.6.
Defensive instability continues to haunt them — at least one goal has been conceded in 27 of their last 28 matches, including 26 of their last 27 in the Eredivisie. Moreover, they have often found themselves trailing early, losing at half time in 6 of their last 10 games. Despite these issues, NAC will hope that home advantage can provide a spark, as the support from their fans could be crucial in a match of such importance.
SC Telstar arrive at this encounter as the league’s bottom side, but their recent performances suggest a team capable of resilience. They recently claimed a morale-boosting 4-1 victory over HSV Hoek, showing signs of attacking improvement. In their last five matches, Telstar have registered 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average.
Telstar’s matches have often been lively, with both teams scoring in the second half in each of their last five fixtures. They also tend to produce plenty of action from set pieces, as over 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 16 matches. Despite their lowly position, Telstar’s defensive organization has improved, but their inability to turn draws into wins remains a major obstacle in their survival bid.
The recent history between these two sides suggests a balanced contest. In their last five meetings, NAC Breda have won twice, SC Telstar once, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter finished 1-1 in February 2024, highlighting how evenly matched these teams have been. On average, NAC have scored 2.0 goals and conceded 1.2 per game in these head-to-head clashes.
Given both teams’ current struggles, this fixture is expected to be tense and low-scoring. NAC’s inability to keep clean sheets contrasts with Telstar’s tendency to concede late goals, which could make for a cautious opening phase. The home side will likely rely on urgency and crowd support to push forward, while Telstar may focus on maintaining defensive discipline and exploiting counterattacks.
With both teams under pressure and struggling for consistency, a draw would not be a surprising outcome. However, the need for points could force both sides to take risks as the match progresses, potentially opening up opportunities in the second half.
Statistically, the probabilities indicate a tight contest: NAC Breda have a 41% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and Telstar’s chances are estimated at 33%. The likelihood of both teams scoring is 54%, while the Over 2.5 goals market is nearly balanced at 51% for Over and 49% for Under. Considering the recent scoring patterns and the cautious nature of relegation battles, a low-scoring affair seems most plausible.
NAC Breda vs SC Telstar prediction from BetMines: Under 3.5 goals.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NAC Breda
Telstar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3