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Prediction published on Oct 7, 2026 6:09 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 7, 2026 6:09 PM
Nancy host Guingamp at Stade Marcel-Picot on October 9 in a Ligue 2 meeting between the teams placed sixth and 11th. Nancy have made the stronger start in the league, but their recent results have been uneven. Guingamp arrive with a better record across their last five matches, even though their first three league trips brought only one point. With the supplied win probabilities split evenly between the two sides, this is a fixture in which current form and away results point in different directions.
Nancy have taken three wins, one draw and three defeats from their seven Ligue 2 matches. They have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league game. That record has put them sixth, but their last five matches have been less steady: two wins and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals both scored and conceded.
Their most recent listed result was a 2-1 defeat to Saarbrücken on October 2. Earlier in the season, Nancy also won a seven-goal match away to Rodez AF, prevailing 4-3. Those two results show contrasting sides of their recent story: they have been able to win a match featuring plenty of goals, but they come into this fixture after a loss. Playing at Stade Marcel-Picot gives them home advantage, though the supplied results do not establish a separate home winning run.
Another figure worth reading carefully is that five of Nancy's last 24 matches ended with no goals. This concerns the total goals scored by both teams in those fixtures, not Nancy's own scoring record. Their more immediate five-match averages provide a different view, with goals scored and conceded at the same rate.
Guingamp sit 11th after two wins, two draws and three defeats in seven Ligue 2 matches. Their league averages stand at 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. They have therefore scored more per match than Nancy across the league season so far, while also allowing more at the other end.
Across their last five matches, Guingamp have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over that stretch, making goals at both ends a notable part of their recent record. Their latest listed match was a 2-1 win over Le Mans on October 2, a positive result to take into the trip to Nancy.
The away record is a concern for the visitors. Guingamp collected just one point from their first three league trips and had not won any of them. Their overall five-match results are encouraging, but they have yet to turn that form into an away league victory. Friday's fixture offers a chance to change that record against a Nancy side whose own recent results have fluctuated.
The available figures do not make either side a clear favourite. The supplied win probabilities are 37% for Nancy, 26% for a draw and 37% for Guingamp. Nancy's higher league position and Guingamp's limited return from away trips support the hosts' case. Guingamp, however, have lost only once in their last five matches, compared with three defeats for Nancy over the same span.
Goals are an important part of this Ligue 2 match preview. Nancy's last-five averages are 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded; Guingamp's are 2.0 in each category. Each team's most recent listed match also featured goals for both sides. The supplied figures put Both Teams To Score (Yes) at 60% and Over 2.5 goals at 56%, although averages and probabilities cannot guarantee how this particular game will unfold.
The head-to-head record adds a counterpoint to those recent scoring numbers. From Nancy's perspective, the supplied five-match summary reads one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 0-3 on January 19, 2026. That result is a reminder that a goal for each side is far from certain, even if both teams' latest form makes scoring at both ends a reasonable focus for this fixture.
Nancy vs Guingamp prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nancy
Guingamp
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2