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Prediction published on Feb 9, 2026 1:01 AM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Feb 9, 2026 1:01 AM
The quarter-finals of the Coppa Italia bring an intriguing clash as Napoli host Como at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. The home side approach this tie after regaining confidence with two consecutive victories, following a difficult spell marked by defeats against Juventus and Chelsea. With the support of their fans and a strong home record, Napoli aim to continue their resurgence and secure a place in the semi-finals. On the other hand, Como arrive full of belief, chasing what would be a historic qualification for the club. The Lombard side have impressed this season, combining defensive solidity with attacking flair, and will look to challenge one of Italy’s most successful cup teams.
After a turbulent period, Napoli have rediscovered their rhythm. Their recent 3-2 away win over Genoa on February 7, 2026, highlighted their resilience, with a comeback inspired by a double from Rasmus Højlund and a goal from Scott McTominay. Despite finishing the match with ten men, the victory extended their positive momentum after a previous success against Fiorentina. The team’s home form remains a major strength — Napoli have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 home matches and have not lost at half time in 19 of those. In the Coppa Italia, they have recorded one draw so far, averaging one goal scored and one conceded per game.
Napoli’s attacking numbers show an average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over their last five matches across all competitions. They have also led at half time in their last three home fixtures, a sign of their ability to start games strongly. However, their defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points, something they will need to address against a Como side that has been prolific in front of goal. Historically, Napoli have lifted the Coppa Italia trophy six times, and the ambition to add another title remains alive. The last head-to-head between these sides ended 0-0 in November 2025, showing that this matchup can be finely balanced.
Como continue to impress in what has been a remarkable campaign. Their recent 0-0 draw against Atalanta on February 1, 2026, ended a run of three consecutive victories, but the performance confirmed their competitive spirit. In the Coppa Italia, Como have been outstanding, winning all three of their matches with an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. The team’s attacking efficiency has been complemented by a disciplined defense, which has kept opponents quiet for long stretches. In fact, at least one team failed to score in the second half in 33 of their last 34 matches, underlining their ability to control the tempo after the break.
Como’s recent record shows three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five games, with an average of 2.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. Their away form has also been solid, with only two of their last ten away matches featuring under 0.5 total goals. The Lombard side have not lost at half time in 20 of their last 21 matches, a testament to their consistency and tactical discipline. Having eliminated Sudtirol, Sassuolo, and Fiorentina in previous rounds, Como now face their toughest test yet. A victory in Naples would not only secure a semi-final spot but also mark one of the greatest achievements in the club’s history.
This quarter-final promises to be a fascinating contest between two sides in good form but with contrasting styles. Napoli will rely on their home advantage and attacking depth to break down a well-organized Como defense. The hosts have shown resilience in recent weeks, while their record at the Maradona Stadium remains one of the best in Italy. Como, meanwhile, arrive with confidence and momentum, having scored freely in previous rounds and demonstrated impressive tactical balance. Their ability to stay compact and strike on the counter could make them a dangerous opponent for Napoli.
Given the recent head-to-head (0-0 in November 2025) and both teams’ defensive reliability, a tight and low-scoring match could be on the cards. The statistics suggest that Under 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome, supported by Napoli’s tendency to control matches at home and Como’s disciplined approach. However, with both sides capable of producing moments of brilliance, a draw after 90 minutes remains a realistic scenario — especially considering the single-leg format of the quarter-final.
Napoli vs Como prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
NAPOLI (3-4-2-1): Milinković-Savić; Beukema, Rrahmani, Jesus; Gutierrez, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola; Vergara, Elmas; Højlund.
COMO (4-2-3-1): Butez; Smolcic, Ramon, Kempf, Valle; Perrone, Da Cunha; Vojvoda, Paz, Baturina; Douvikas.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Napoli
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
7
3