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Prediction published on Apr 22, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 22, 2026 6:01 PM
The 34th round of Serie A opens at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, where Napoli host Cremonese in a Friday night clash scheduled for April 24, 2026. The home side enter the match as clear favourites, aiming to consolidate their position in the top four and secure a Champions League spot for next season. Meanwhile, the visitors are still fighting to avoid relegation and desperately need points to stay afloat in the league.
After a disappointing 0-2 home defeat against Lazio on April 18, Napoli saw their title hopes fade away, now sitting 12 points behind the leaders. That loss also ended their unbeaten home record in Serie A this season, which had previously included 11 wins and 4 draws. Despite that setback, the team remains one of the most consistent sides in the league, with a season record of 20 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
In their last five matches, Napoli have collected 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, maintaining a solid defensive structure while averaging 1 goal per game. The team’s attacking line has been led by Rasmus Hojlund and Scott McTominay, who have combined for 18 goals this season. Although Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres, and Antonio Vergara are unavailable, the squad still boasts depth and quality in every department.
Midfielders Frank Anguissa and Kevin De Bruyne are expected to return to the starting lineup after being substituted at halftime in the previous match. Their presence should help restore fluidity and control in the middle of the pitch. Historically, Napoli have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last four meetings with Cremonese, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game and conceding only 0.8.
Cremonese approach this match in a difficult position, sitting 17th in the Serie A table and level on points with Lecce, ahead only on goal difference. Their recent 0-0 draw against Torino on April 19 highlighted their ongoing struggles in attack. The team has managed just one win in their last 19 league matches, alongside 5 draws and 13 defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per game this season.
Under coach Marco Giampaolo, Cremonese have shown slight improvement, earning 4 points from the last 4 matches. Away from home, however, their record remains poor, with 4 defeats in their last 5 trips. The team’s main attacking threat, Federico Bonazzoli, has not scored from open play since early March, while Youssef Maleh and Jari Vandeputte remain key contributors after their goals in the win at Parma. Several players, including Jamie Vardy, Martin Thorsby, Faris Moumbagna, and Michele Collocolo, are expected to miss the trip to Naples due to injuries.
Despite their struggles, Cremonese have shown resilience in certain moments, managing to keep clean sheets in two of their last five matches. However, their inability to score consistently and their poor first-half performances remain major concerns — they have failed to lead at half-time in 19 of their last 20 league games.
This encounter presents a clear contrast between two teams with very different objectives. Napoli will look to bounce back from their recent defeat and reassert their dominance at home, where they have been strong throughout the season. Their attacking play, supported by creative midfielders like De Bruyne and Anguissa, should be enough to break through Cremonese’s defensive setup.
Cremonese, on the other hand, will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on compact defending and counterattacks. Their main challenge will be to contain Napoli’s offensive pressure and avoid early goals, as they have often struggled to recover after conceding first. Given their poor away record and limited scoring ability, the visitors face an uphill battle in Naples.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been one-sided, with Napoli dominating both in possession and in front of goal. Considering the current form and statistical trends, a home victory appears the most probable outcome, potentially accompanied by more than one goal scored in total.
Napoli vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Napoli
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1