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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 9:25 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 23, 2025 8:41 AM
On Saturday, October 25, the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium will host the big clash of Serie A Matchday 8 between Napoli and Inter Milan, two teams battling to stay close to league leaders AC Milan. The home side, after a strong start, are going through a complicated period: they come off two consecutive defeats, against Torino in Serie A and PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League. The heavy 6-2 loss in the Netherlands could have significant consequences, jeopardizing their push for the Champions League Round of 16 and undermining the team’s confidence. For this reason, the match against Inter Milan represents a crucial crossroads for Antonio Conte’s men, who are called to react and regain momentum to prevent the current slump from turning into a full-blown crisis. The situation is completely different for Cristian Chivu’s Nerazzurri, coming off a dominant 4-0 win over Union Saint-Gilloise in the Champions League, a victory that keeps them at maximum points and on track for qualification to the Round of 16. Buoyed by European enthusiasm, Inter Milan arrives at the Maradona Stadium aiming to take advantage of Napoli’s difficult period to secure three vital points and strengthen their title challenge, seeking some form of revenge for last year’s defeat to the Partenopei. With both teams tied on 15 points, Saturday night promises to be a high-intensity, spectacular match where no mistakes can be afforded. A win would not only keep them in touch with AC Milan but also send a strong signal in the race for the Serie A title.
Napoli are going through a rough patch: in the last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. This highlights significant defensive weaknesses, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last eight matches in Serie A and the Champions League.
After the first seven Serie A matchdays, Napoli sit in third place with 15 points, from 5 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. They boast the second-best attack in the league, with 12 goals scored, while the defense—a strong point last season—is not performing at the same level. In the latest round, they lost 1-0 away to Torino.
Despite the challenges of the match against Inter Milan, Napoli can rely on home advantage. Antonio Conte’s team has not lost in the last 15 home games across all competitions at the Maradona Stadium. Additionally, they come off four consecutive home wins against Cagliari, Pisa, Sporting, and Genoa.
By defeating Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0, Inter Milan achieved their seventh consecutive win across all competitions. During this winning streak, the Nerazzurri have scored an average of 2.57 goals per game while conceding only 2 in total. Defensively, they have allowed just one goal in the last five matches.
Inter Milan have accumulated 15 points in Serie A so far, from 5 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Chivu’s men boast the league’s best attack, with 18 goals, and have conceded just one goal in their last three Serie A matches against Cagliari, Cremonese, and Roma. Last weekend, they won 1-0 against Roma thanks to a goal from Bonny.
The Italian and European runners-up have won their last four away games, defeating Ajax, Cagliari, Roma, and Union Saint-Gilloise. This statistic underlines Inter Milan’s solidity: in these four games, they did not concede a single goal while scoring nine.
According to BetMines, Napoli and Inter Milan face a highly balanced match: both teams have a 37% chance of winning, while a draw is set at 25%. Past encounters confirm this parity: in the last five head-to-head matches, there has been one Napoli win, one Inter Milan win, and three draws. Given their current form, a Double Chance X2 bet could be a wise choice.
The prediction anticipates that both teams will score at least one goal, considering Napoli’s consistent home scoring and Inter Milan’s in-form attack. Additionally, Napoli’s recent defensive weaknesses could amplify Inter’s counterattacks, which proved lethal last week in Rome.
The general feeling is that the match will produce at least three goals: the Over 2.5 goals outcome occurred in five of Napoli’s last six games and in four of Inter Milan’s last six.
NAPOLI (4-1-4-1): Milinkovic; Di Lorenzo, Beukema, Buongiorno, Spinazzola; Gilmour; Politano, De Bruyne, Anguissa, Mc Tominay; Hojlund. Coach: Conte
INTER MILAN (3-5-2): Sommer; Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Bonny, Martinez L. Coach: Chivu
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Napoli
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3