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Napoli
11:30 AM
November 8, 2026
Lazio
Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 11:34 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 11:34 AM
Napoli host Lazio at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on November 8 in the 11th round of Serie A. The teams arrive in contrasting form: Napoli sit eighth after consecutive defeats in the league and Champions League, while Lazio lead the standings and remain unbeaten in domestic competition. With Napoli seeking a response and Lazio bringing a five-match winning run, this fixture offers a test of whether the visitors can maintain their momentum against a home side under pressure.
Napoli's latest setback was a 4-1 defeat to Porto on November 4, following a 2-0 league loss to Juventus. They have lost four of their last seven matches across competitions. Their most recent five fixtures have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game. Those figures show that Napoli have continued to find goals, but have also allowed opponents plenty of opportunities to score.
In Serie A, Massimiliano Allegri's side have four wins, two draws and four losses after ten rounds. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per league match. Home results have been uneven in a different way: Napoli kept clean sheets in five of their last nine home league games, yet conceded at least twice in four of those fixtures. They have also led at half-time in each of their last three home matches.
Personnel concerns add to Napoli's challenge. Milinkovic-Savic, Di Lorenzo and Olivera are among the injured players listed alongside Buongiorno, Favasuli, Alisson Santos and Lobotka, while Marianucci is suspended. Hojlund and Rrahmani could recover after illness, although their availability is not confirmed in the supplied information. On the pitch, Napoli will want a steadier performance after conceding six goals across their defeats to Juventus and Porto.
Lazio travel to Napoli at the top of Serie A with nine wins, one draw and no defeats from their first ten league matches. Their latest victory came on November 1, when they recovered to beat Cagliari 2-1. That result was part of a run of five wins in their last five matches, during which they averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Across the league season, Gennaro Gattuso's team average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. They have won all five of their away league games, making this trip another opportunity to extend an exceptional start on the road. The source article also notes that Lazio's recent winning matches have featured at least three total goals, a notable detail alongside their strong scoring average.
Lazio have not had European fixtures alongside their league campaign, whereas Napoli played Porto in the Champions League during the week. The visitors nevertheless have an availability issue of their own: Zaccagni is out with a muscular injury. Gudmunsson, Rovella and Marusic are also listed as requiring assessment. Their absences or possible absences do not change the central picture of Lazio's opening ten league rounds: they have combined frequent wins with a low goals-conceded average.
Recent form gives Lazio a clear source of confidence, but Napoli's attacking numbers make this more than a straightforward comparison of league positions. The hosts have scored an average of 2.4 goals across their last five matches, even as their defensive average over the same period has risen to 2.6 conceded. Lazio, meanwhile, have scored 3.2 per game over their last five and have yet to lose in Serie A. Both teams therefore enter with evidence that they can contribute to the scoreline, though Napoli must improve on their recent defensive performances.
The head-to-head record supplies another point of context rather than a guarantee for this meeting. Napoli have one win, one draw and three defeats in the supplied five-match summary against Lazio, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 2-0 to Lazio on April 18, 2026. This time, Napoli have home advantage, but face opponents who have won every away league fixture so far this season.
A lively second half is also consistent with Napoli's recent matches: at least one goal was scored after the interval in each of their last 12 games. The key question is whether Napoli can turn their own scoring output into a result while containing a Lazio side averaging more than two goals per league match. Given the recent goal averages on both sides and the scoring pattern in Lazio's winning run, total goals stand out as a useful way to assess this Serie A match.
Napoli vs Lazio prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Napoli
Lazio
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
6
4
8
2