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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 5:38 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 5:38 PM
Napoli host Roma in Serie A on October 24, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 local time at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Both teams arrive after Champions League wins on October 20, but their league campaigns tell different stories. Ninth-placed Napoli are seeking consistency after three defeats in their first seven Serie A matches, while third-placed Roma remain unbeaten in the competition. The latest Derby del Sole also brings together two sides fresh from four-goal European performances.
Napoli edged Bodø / Glimt 4-3 to claim their first Champions League victory of the season. It was an encouraging response to a difficult sequence: across their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6 per game. A 3-0 league win over Frosinone was followed by away losses to Villarreal and Venezia, underlining the inconsistency Napoli are trying to overcome.
In Serie A, Napoli's record stands at three wins, one draw and three defeats. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The 1-0 defeat at Venezia was their third league loss in seven rounds, but a return home offers an opportunity to respond. Napoli are also seeking a third consecutive home league match without conceding, setting up an intriguing test against Roma's productive attack.
Scott McTominay comes into the fixture after scoring twice against Bodø / Glimt, while Rasmus Hojlund is another attacking option mentioned ahead of the match. Napoli may be without Alisson Santos and David Neres because of injuries, although Antonio Vergara has returned to the group. After a European game in which Napoli scored four but conceded three, their ability to find a better balance will be closely watched.
Roma followed a 2-0 Serie A win over Genoa with a 4-0 Champions League victory against Slovan Bratislava. They begin this fixture in third place with 17 points, having won five and drawn two of their seven league games. Their Serie A averages of 2.3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match point to strength at both ends, even if their broader five-match run of two wins, two draws and one defeat has been less emphatic.
The visitors have been particularly difficult to break down away from home in the league, keeping clean sheets in each of their first three Serie A away fixtures. Their attacking numbers are notable too: Roma have scored at least once in 21 of their last 22 Serie A matches and in 26 of their last 27 matches across the supplied wider run. At least two total goals were scored in 25 of those last 27 matches, so their strong defensive figures do not tell the whole story of their recent games.
Roma have also avoided a half-time deficit in their last 14 Serie A matches. For this trip, Donyell Malen returns after a one-match suspension, while Paulo Dybala, Mile Svilar and Lorenzo Pellegrini are unavailable. Their recent clean sheets will be tested by a Napoli side that has just scored four times in Europe.
This Serie A match preview centres on a contrast between Napoli's uneven results and Roma's unbeaten league start. Roma have the stronger season record, but Napoli's home advantage and their latest attacking display make the outcome less straightforward. Napoli have two wins and three draws in the five meetings covered by the supplied head-to-head summary, including a 2-2 draw on February 15, 2026.
The recent meetings offer a useful counterpoint to Roma's away clean sheets: both teams scored in four of the last five matches between Napoli and Roma at Napoli's ground. Napoli will be aiming to preserve their recent home defensive run, while Roma bring a long sequence of matches in which they have found the net. Whether Napoli can limit that attack without losing the threat shown against Bodø / Glimt is one of the key questions heading into the Derby del Sole.
Napoli vs Roma prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Napoli
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
9
1