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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 22, 2026 5:01 PM
The final matchday of Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Napoli and Udinese, two sides that have already achieved their main goals for the season but still have reasons to perform well. For Napoli, this fixture represents a farewell to their supporters at the Maradona Stadium after securing qualification for next season’s Champions League. For Udinese, it’s a chance to finish the campaign on a high note and possibly improve their league position. The match is scheduled for Sunday, May 24, at 18:00.
Napoli approach this encounter after a convincing 0-3 victory against Pisa on May 17, a result that mathematically confirmed their place among the top teams in Serie A. Their overall record this season stands at 22 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. In their last five outings, the Partenopei have collected two wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game.
At home, Napoli have been particularly consistent in attack. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 10 home matches, while 18 of their last 20 games have seen at least one goal before half-time. These figures highlight a team that tends to start strong and maintain offensive pressure throughout the match. With the season drawing to a close, the atmosphere at the Maradona is expected to be celebratory, as fans bid farewell to a campaign that, while not perfect, still delivered Champions League football.
Despite having little left to play for in terms of standings, Napoli’s motivation will likely come from giving their supporters a memorable send-off. The squad depth allows for some rotation, and several players who have featured less frequently could get their chance to shine. The home side’s attacking quality remains their biggest strength, and they will look to exploit Udinese’s defensive gaps early on.
Udinese suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to Cremonese in their last outing on May 17, but overall, their season has been solid. With a record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, the Friulani have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their recent form mirrors Napoli’s, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five games.
Udinese’s away performances have been competitive, often characterized by a balanced approach between defense and attack. The team has shown resilience and the ability to find the net even against stronger opponents. Their motivation for this match lies in surpassing the 50-point mark and potentially climbing higher in the standings. The players have expressed a desire to close the season positively, and that determination could translate into a proactive display at the Maradona.
From a tactical perspective, Udinese’s focus will likely be on maintaining compactness and exploiting counterattacking opportunities. Their recent scoring consistency away from home suggests they are capable of troubling Napoli’s defense, especially if the hosts rotate their lineup. The visitors’ physical condition remains good, and their collective spirit could make this a closer contest than the table might suggest.
Historically, matches between Napoli and Udinese have been competitive, with the last head-to-head ending 1-0 in December 2025. In their last five meetings, Napoli have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. These numbers point to a relatively balanced rivalry, though Napoli’s home advantage often proves decisive.
Given that both teams have already met their seasonal objectives, this fixture could be more open and entertaining than usual. Napoli’s attacking rhythm and Udinese’s willingness to push forward may lead to a lively encounter with chances at both ends. The hosts’ strong home record and offensive statistics suggest they will control possession and create more opportunities, but Udinese’s counterattacking threat should not be underestimated.
From a betting perspective, the data indicates a 57% probability of a Napoli win, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 20% likelihood of an Udinese victory. Additionally, the Both Teams To Score – Yes market stands at 55%, while the Over 2.5 goals option is also favored at 55%. These figures align with the expectation of an open, attacking match where both sides could find the net.
Considering the recent performances and statistical trends, the BetMines prediction for this Serie A clash leans towards Both Teams To Score – Yes with a 55% probability. Napoli’s attacking consistency at home and Udinese’s ability to score on the road make this outcome the most plausible. Fans can therefore anticipate an entertaining match to close the season, with goals likely at both ends.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Napoli
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1