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Náutico
12:30 AM
July 23, 2026
Londrina
Prediction published on Jul 21, 2026 10:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on Jul 21, 2026 10:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Náutico and Londrina promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the Brazilian Série B. Scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, at 21:30, the match will take place at the Estádio dos Aflitos and is part of the 19th round of the competition. Both teams are in the lower half of the table and in need of points to move away from the relegation zone. With only one point separating them, the duel gains even more importance, as a victory could significantly change their positions in the standings.
Náutico currently sit in 14th place in Série B with 21 points. The team’s recent form has been worrying, as they have gone eight matches without a win, including a 2-1 defeat against CRB on July 16. In their last five games, Náutico have recorded no victories, one draw, and four losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.8. Despite this negative streak, the team has managed to find the net in most of their home games, showing some attacking persistence even when results have not gone their way.
At home, Náutico’s matches tend to be tight and low-scoring. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 20 of their last 21 home fixtures, and at least one team failed to score in 15 of the last 16. Moreover, in 38 of their last 40 matches overall, at least one side did not score by half time, highlighting a pattern of slow starts and cautious first halves. The team has also struggled to impose itself early, having lost at half time in six of their last ten league games. These numbers suggest that Náutico often find it difficult to take control of matches from the outset.
With the home crowd behind them, Náutico will be desperate to end their winless run. The team’s main challenge will be to convert their attacking efforts into goals while maintaining defensive discipline against a Londrina side that has been in much better form recently.
Londrina arrive for this fixture in 16th place, just below their opponents, but with a more positive recent record. The team drew 0-0 against Botafogo SP on July 18, extending their unbeaten streak to five matches. Over that period, Londrina have collected two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game and conceding just 0.6. This solid run has allowed them to climb closer to mid-table and build confidence ahead of this crucial away trip.
Statistically, Londrina’s matches tend to feature a good number of corners, with over 7.5 corners taken in 32 of their last 33 games and over 8.5 in 20 of the last 21. However, like Náutico, they often experience quiet first halves, as at least one team failed to score before the break in 30 of their last 32 matches. Away from home, Londrina have also shown some vulnerability early on, losing at half time in six of their last ten away fixtures.
Despite their lower ranking, Londrina’s recent performances suggest a team on the rise. Their defense has been compact, and their attack efficient, making them a dangerous opponent for a Náutico side struggling to find rhythm. The visitors will likely approach this match with confidence, knowing that a win could lift them above their hosts in the standings.
The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Londrina, who have won four of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 victory in August 2025. Historically, these encounters have featured moderate scoring, with Náutico averaging 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per match against the Tubarão. Given the current form of both teams, this match could follow a similar pattern: Náutico will try to dominate possession at home, while Londrina may rely on quick transitions and efficient finishing.
Both teams have shown tendencies toward low-scoring first halves, but Londrina’s recent attacking efficiency could make the difference. Náutico’s defensive fragility, combined with their inability to secure early leads, might open opportunities for the visitors to capitalize on counterattacks. However, the home side’s need for points and their ability to score at the Aflitos could ensure a competitive and balanced contest.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, the expectation is for a match with limited goals but enough attacking intent from both sides to keep it lively. The most likely scenario points toward a cautious start followed by more open play in the second half.
Náutico vs Londrina prediction by BetMines:
The prediction favors Under 2.5 goals with a 55% probability, reflecting the tendency of both teams to produce tight and low-scoring matches.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Náutico
Londrina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3