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NEC Nijmegen
1 - 0
FT
FC Volendam
Prediction published on Feb 2, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Feb 2, 2026 7:02 PM
The KNVB Cup quarter-final between NEC Nijmegen and FC Volendam promises to deliver an exciting midweek clash on Wednesday, February 4. The home side enters the match in excellent form, sitting third in the Eredivisie with 38 points, while the visitors are battling to avoid relegation. Despite the difference in league positions, the cup often brings surprises, and Volendam will hope to defy the odds at the Goffertstadion. However, the head-to-head record heavily favors NEC, who have dominated this fixture for over a decade.
NEC Nijmegen are enjoying one of their best seasons in recent years. Their recent 3-1 victory over AZ on January 31 extended their unbeaten streak to 11 matches across all competitions, with nine wins and two draws. The team’s attacking style has been particularly effective, producing 52 goals in the Eredivisie — the second-highest tally in the league. In the KNVB Cup, NEC have won all three of their matches so far, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Their home form has been outstanding. NEC have scored in 27 of their last 28 matches and have found the net at least twice in each of their last 10 home games. They have also seen Over 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 fixtures, with both teams scoring in all of them. The Nijmegen side’s attacking consistency is further highlighted by the fact that they have scored in every home match this season, often taking the lead before halftime.
Key attacking figures such as Kento Shiogai and Koki Ogawa have both scored seven goals in the Eredivisie, while Brian Linssen has contributed five goals and seven assists. Veteran forward Tjaronn Chery continues to impress with five goals and five assists, and Noe Lebreton leads the team in the KNVB Cup with two goals and one assist. These numbers underline NEC’s offensive depth and their ability to maintain pressure throughout the match.
FC Volendam approach this quarter-final as clear underdogs but with renewed confidence after a 1-1 draw against Go Ahead Eagles on February 1. The team has collected four points from their last three league matches, showing signs of improvement in their fight against relegation. In the KNVB Cup, Volendam remain unbeaten with two wins and one draw, averaging 1.3 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per game.
However, their away form remains a concern. Volendam have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 away matches and have trailed at halftime in 11 of those. Despite this, they have shown resilience in cup competitions, where defensive discipline and counterattacks have been key to their progress. Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of one goal scored per game.
Veteran striker Henk Veerman leads the scoring charts for Volendam with four goals in the Eredivisie, while Robert Mühren and Brandley Kuwas have each netted three times. Kuwas has also provided two assists, underlining his creative importance. In the previous round of the KNVB Cup, Veerman scored in the 2-0 win over Genemuiden, showing that experience could again be crucial in this knockout tie.
Historically, this fixture has been one-sided. NEC have won four of the last five meetings, including a 3-2 victory in December 2025, and have averaged 3.6 goals scored per game against Volendam. The home side’s attacking momentum, combined with Volendam’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggests another high-scoring encounter could be on the cards.
NEC’s ability to score early and maintain pressure throughout the match makes them strong favorites to progress to the semi-finals. Volendam will likely rely on counterattacks and set pieces, but their defensive record away from home raises doubts about their ability to contain NEC’s relentless attack. Given both teams’ recent trends, goals at both ends seem likely, but the hosts should have enough quality to secure victory.
BetMines Prediction: Over 2.5 goals with a 68% probability. The attacking form of NEC and the defensive fragility of Volendam point towards an open and entertaining match, with the home side expected to dominate the scoreline.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0