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NEC Nijmegen
2 - 3
FT
Fortuna Sittard
Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 10:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 10:04 PM
The upcoming Eredivisie clash between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard promises to deliver an entertaining contest at the Stadion de Goffert. Scheduled for February 28, this fixture brings together a side fighting for the top positions and another aiming to consolidate its mid-table status. Both teams arrive with contrasting objectives but share a common need for consistency as the season enters its decisive phase.
NEC Nijmegen have shown flashes of brilliance this season, though their recent run has been less convincing. After a 1-1 draw away at Ajax and another 1-1 stalemate against Sparta Rotterdam, the home side is eager to return to winning ways. Their last five matches have produced two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite the recent dip, NEC remain one of the most entertaining sides in the Eredivisie, averaging 2.5 goals scored per match this season while conceding 1.7.
At home, NEC have been particularly reliable in attack. They have scored in each of their last 17 home matches, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in all of them. Their attacking consistency is further highlighted by the fact that both teams have scored in the last 12 league matches involving NEC. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they have conceded in each of those 12 games. The team’s ability to find the net regularly, combined with their vulnerability at the back, makes their matches some of the most goal-rich in the league.
NEC’s attacking power, showcased in their 4-1 victory over Heracles and 3-1 win at AZ Alkmaar earlier in the campaign, remains their biggest weapon. The challenge now is to convert dominance into three points, especially at home, where the crowd at Stadion de Goffert expects a strong response after three matches without a win.
Fortuna Sittard approach this match with renewed confidence after a 2-1 victory over Excelsior. That result ended a difficult spell that included a 4-1 defeat to Ajax and a 2-2 draw with Sparta Rotterdam. Their last five matches have yielded two wins, one draw, and two losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. The visitors’ campaign has been marked by inconsistency, but their attacking improvement in recent weeks offers some optimism.
Defensively, however, Fortuna continue to struggle. They have conceded in each of their last 19 away matches in the Eredivisie and in their last 13 overall. Over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in all of their last 15 away games, and over 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last nine matches. This pattern suggests that Fortuna’s fixtures tend to be open and high-scoring, often decided by fine margins.
While Fortuna’s attacking play has improved, their defensive fragility remains a major issue. The team’s inability to keep clean sheets away from home could prove costly against a side as offensively potent as NEC. To get a result, they will need to maintain their recent attacking rhythm while tightening up at the back.
This fixture has all the ingredients for another high-scoring encounter. The last five head-to-head meetings have produced four matches with three or more goals, and both teams have been involved in goal-heavy games throughout the season. NEC’s attacking consistency, combined with Fortuna’s defensive issues, points towards a match where chances will come frequently at both ends.
NEC’s home advantage and superior quality make them the favorites. Their ability to score in every home match this season, coupled with Fortuna’s poor away defensive record, suggests that the hosts are well-positioned to claim all three points. However, given that both teams have scored in NEC’s last 12 league games, it would not be surprising to see the visitors find the net as well.
Fortuna Sittard’s recent improvement in attack ensures they will not go down without a fight, but NEC’s offensive firepower and home momentum should ultimately prove decisive. Expect an open game with plenty of goalmouth action, especially in the second half, where both teams tend to be more productive.
BetMines Prediction: NEC Nijmegen win (1) with a probability of 62%. The data also supports a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals (67%) and Both Teams To Score – Yes (62%), reinforcing the expectation of an entertaining and attacking contest at Stadion de Goffert.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
7
3