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NEC Nijmegen
4 - 1
FT
Heracles Almelo
Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 4:07 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 4:07 PM
The upcoming Eredivisie clash between NEC Nijmegen and Heracles Almelo promises to be an intriguing encounter in the 22nd round of the Dutch top flight. Scheduled for February 7 at Stadion De Goffert, this fixture brings together two sides experiencing very different trajectories. The hosts are enjoying a remarkable run of form that has propelled them into the upper reaches of the table, while the visitors continue to struggle near the relegation zone. With NEC’s attacking momentum showing no signs of slowing down and Heracles’ defensive issues persisting, this match could deliver plenty of goals and drama.
NEC Nijmegen enter this fixture in outstanding shape, having won each of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent victory, a 1-0 triumph over FC Volendam on February 4, further underlined their consistency and resilience. Over that five-game stretch, NEC have averaged 2.4 goals scored per match while conceding just 1.2, a balance that reflects both attacking flair and defensive stability. In the Eredivisie overall, their record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats has placed them firmly in third position, a testament to their impressive progress this season.
At home, NEC have been particularly dominant. They have scored in each of their last 17 home matches, with at least two goals in 10 consecutive Eredivisie fixtures at Stadion De Goffert. Their attacking rhythm rarely falters, as evidenced by the fact that over 1.5 goals have been scored in 24 of their last 25 league games. Moreover, the team tends to come alive after the break — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 30 of their last 31 Eredivisie matches. This pattern suggests that NEC’s offensive intensity often increases as the game progresses, making them a constant threat until the final whistle.
NEC’s attacking play has been spearheaded by creative midfielders and clinical forwards who thrive on quick transitions and sustained pressure. Their ability to maintain possession and exploit defensive gaps has been a key factor in their recent success. The home crowd at De Goffert has also played a crucial role, providing the energy and confidence that have turned the stadium into a fortress. With their current momentum, NEC will be eager to extend their winning streak and continue their push toward European qualification.
In stark contrast, Heracles Almelo find themselves in a difficult position, sitting 16th in the Eredivisie standings. Their season has been marked by inconsistency and defensive fragility. Although they managed a 2-1 win over Fortuna Sittard on February 1, that result was a rare bright spot in an otherwise challenging run. Over their last five matches, Heracles have recorded just one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their overall record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses highlights the struggles that have kept them near the relegation zone.
Defensively, Heracles have been unable to find stability. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 17 matches, including 14 consecutive away games in the Eredivisie. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with the team losing at half time in six straight league trips. Matches involving Heracles tend to be open and high-scoring — over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 29 fixtures, and over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 29 of their last 30. These numbers underline a pattern of defensive lapses and late collapses that have cost them valuable points.
Despite these issues, Heracles still possess attacking potential. Their forwards have shown flashes of quality, particularly when exploiting counterattacks against stronger opponents. However, their inability to maintain defensive discipline often undermines their attacking efforts. To stand a chance against NEC, Heracles will need to deliver an uncharacteristically solid defensive performance while capitalizing on any opportunities that arise from set pieces or quick transitions.
This fixture pits one of the league’s most in-form sides against a team struggling to find consistency. NEC Nijmegen’s attacking statistics are among the best in the Eredivisie, and their home record suggests they will approach this match with confidence and aggression. Their ability to score multiple goals in nearly every recent home game makes them heavy favorites. Meanwhile, Heracles Almelo’s defensive record — conceding in every away match this season — raises serious concerns about their ability to contain NEC’s relentless offense.
Historically, NEC have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 4-1 away victory earlier this season. Given the current form of both teams, another high-scoring encounter seems likely. NEC’s attacking rhythm, combined with Heracles’ defensive vulnerabilities, points toward a match where the home side could dominate possession and create numerous scoring chances. For Heracles, the key will be to stay compact and hope to strike on the counter, but their recent performances suggest that may be easier said than done.
All indicators — from recent form to statistical trends — favor NEC Nijmegen. Their offensive consistency, home advantage, and superior confidence make them strong contenders to secure another three points. Heracles, on the other hand, will need a near-perfect performance to avoid defeat.
NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles Almelo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1