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NEC Nijmegen
5:30 PM
August 11, 2026
Olympiacos F.C.
Prediction published on Aug 9, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Aug 9, 2026 6:03 PM
NEC Nijmegen welcome Olympiacos F.C. on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, for the decisive second leg of their Champions League qualifying tie. The teams remain level following a 0-0 draw on August 4, leaving everything to be settled at Goffertstadion. NEC returned from the opening match with a clean sheet despite facing an opponent with home advantage, but their failure to convert 13 attempts and 1.36 expected goals prevented them from taking control of the contest. Olympiacos produced only five shots, registered 0.59 expected goals and did not create a big chance. With neither side establishing an advantage in Piraeus, the return fixture begins from a finely balanced position in which the first goal could significantly change the direction of the tie.
NEC Nijmegen earned their place in Champions League qualification after recording their best Eredivisie finish in 2025-26, when they ended the season in third position. They are now attempting to qualify for the Champions League for the first time. Their opening result in this season’s competition was the goalless draw away to Olympiacos, meaning their Champions League record currently stands at one draw, no wins and no defeats, with no goals either scored or conceded.
The first leg offered encouragement at the back but also left NEC with a sense of missed opportunity. They generated 13 shots and 1.36 expected goals without finding the net, so greater efficiency will be required in the return match. That attacking frustration was followed by a disappointing start to their domestic campaign, as NEC suffered a 2-1 defeat against Telstar on August 8. Their last five matches have produced one victory, one draw and three losses, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Home form nevertheless gives NEC a reason for confidence. They have lost only one of their last seven competitive fixtures on their own ground, while their scoring sequence at home is particularly notable: NEC have scored at least once in each of their last 19 home matches. Across all venues, they have also found the net in 29 of their previous 30 games. Those figures point to a team that regularly creates a breakthrough, even though it was unable to do so in Piraeus.
The broader match patterns surrounding NEC have frequently included goals at different stages. Their last 10 home fixtures all produced over 1.5 total goals, while each of those matches also contained at least one first-half goal. In addition, there has been a second-half goal in each of their previous 19 home games. Looking at their last 40 matches overall, 37 featured over 1.5 goals and 37 contained a goal after the interval. However, NEC have been behind at half time in six of their last 10 games, underlining the importance of avoiding another difficult opening period in this decisive contest.
Olympiacos F.C. entered this qualifying campaign after finishing 18th in the Champions League League Phase last season with 11 points. Their run subsequently ended in the playoffs, where they were eliminated 2-0 on aggregate by Bayer Leverkusen. This season’s European record consists of the first-leg draw against NEC, leaving them with no wins, one draw and no losses, as well as averages of zero goals scored and zero conceded.
The home leg did not provide the attacking advantage Olympiacos would have wanted. They managed five attempts, recorded just 0.59 expected goals and failed to produce a big chance over the 90 minutes. That limited output extended a difficult sequence, with the team now winless in four matches across all competitions. Their final three pre-season games ended in defeats against Ajax, Antwerp and AZ Alkmaar, before the goalless result against NEC stopped the losing run without delivering a victory.
Olympiacos have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. During that period, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per fixture. Their recent Champions League games have been especially restrained, as each of their last two matches in the competition finished without a goal. More generally, 26 of their previous 27 matches have stayed under 3.5 total goals, while five of their last 15 fixtures and three of their last 12 away games ended with no goals at all.
The visitors also bring a strong first-half sequence into this trip. Olympiacos have not been behind at the interval in any of their last 15 away matches, and they have avoided a half-time deficit in 25 of their previous 27 games overall. At least one team has failed to score before the break in 37 of their last 40 fixtures. These trends suggest that Olympiacos have frequently kept the early stages under control, something that could become particularly important with the aggregate score still level.
The contrast between NEC’s home scoring record and Olympiacos’ controlled first-half pattern creates the central question of this second leg. NEC have scored in 19 consecutive home matches and have seen a first-half goal in each of their last 10 at Goffertstadion. Olympiacos, however, have not trailed at the break in 15 straight away fixtures and have repeatedly been involved in matches where at least one side remained scoreless during the opening period.
The evidence from the first meeting reinforces how balanced the tie is. NEC created more attacking volume but could not turn 13 shots into a goal, while Olympiacos struggled to generate clear opportunities despite playing at home. The 0-0 first-leg score means neither team has any margin for error. NEC can draw confidence from their long home scoring streak, but their recent record of three defeats in five matches shows that overall form has been uneven. Olympiacos have also lost three of their last five and arrive without a win in four, making it difficult for either side to claim clear momentum.
Recent statistical patterns point in different directions. NEC’s matches have regularly exceeded 1.5 goals, including 37 of the last 40 overall and all of their previous 10 at home. By contrast, Olympiacos have stayed below 3.5 goals in 26 of 27 fixtures and have played two consecutive scoreless Champions League games. The return meeting may therefore depend on whether NEC’s reliable home attack can break through against an Olympiacos side that has been difficult to put behind before half time. After such a cautious opening leg, efficiency in front of goal is likely to be decisive.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiacos F.C.
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1