The fifth round of the Clausura 2026 in Liga MX opens with an intriguing clash between Necaxa and Atlético San Luis. Both sides are currently outside the playoff zone, yet their trajectories differ slightly. The hosts are struggling to find consistency, while the visitors have shown flashes of promise despite their mid-table position. This encounter could prove crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the standings and keep their postseason hopes alive.

Necaxa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Necaxa enter this fixture sitting 15th in the Liga MX table, having collected just three points from four matches. Their recent form has been worrying, with only one win in their last five outings across all competitions. The most recent setback came in a 2-0 defeat against América on January 31, a result that further exposed their defensive fragility. According to the latest data, Necaxa have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 league matches, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game this season.

Offensively, the team has struggled to find rhythm, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per match. Their attack has lacked precision, and they have also been trailing at halftime in their last three league games. Despite these issues, Necaxa’s home support remains hopeful that the team can rediscover its spark. The arrival of experienced midfielder Lorenzo Faravelli has added some stability in the middle of the park, but the squad still needs to improve its finishing and defensive coordination to avoid slipping further down the table.

• Ranking: 15th in Liga MX


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Lost at halftime in last 3 league matches


• Conceded in each of their last 12 Liga MX games

Atlético San Luis’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Atlético San Luis currently occupy 11th place in the standings with four points, the result of one win, one draw, and two defeats. Their latest match ended in a narrow 3-2 loss to Guadalajara, a game that showcased both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. The team has been remarkably consistent in finding the net, scoring in each of their last 13 away matches in Liga MX. This attacking reliability has been one of their main strengths, with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game this season.

However, San Luis’s defensive record remains a concern, as they concede an average of 1.7 goals per match. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with goals often coming in the second half — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. The team’s lack of draws is also notable: they have avoided stalemates in 37 of their last 39 league games, reflecting a high-risk, high-reward style of play. Up front, João Pedro continues to be the key figure, having already scored four goals this season and proving decisive in several matches.

• Ranking: 11th in Liga MX


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 1.8


• Scored in each of their last 13 away matches


• No draw in 19 of their last 20 away games


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away matches

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

Historically, the meetings between Necaxa and Atlético San Luis have been lively affairs. In their last encounter, played on October 27, 2025, San Luis edged a thrilling 4-3 victory. Across their last five head-to-head clashes, Necaxa have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. These numbers suggest that goals are almost guaranteed when these two sides meet.

Necaxa’s main challenge will be to tighten their defense and avoid early setbacks, while San Luis will look to exploit spaces on the counterattack. The visitors’ attacking momentum, combined with Necaxa’s need to respond in front of their fans, could produce an open and entertaining contest. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends.

Necaxa vs Atlético San Luis Prediction and Final Analysis

Given the current form and statistical trends, this match promises to deliver attacking football and plenty of goalmouth action. Necaxa’s defensive lapses and San Luis’s offensive consistency point toward a scenario where both sides find the net. The hosts will rely on their home advantage to push for a much-needed win, while the visitors’ dynamic forward line, led by João Pedro, will aim to continue their scoring streak.

Considering the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this fixture is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 62% probability. This outcome aligns with the attacking tendencies of both teams and their recent defensive records, making it the most likely scenario for this Liga MX encounter.