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Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 07-03-2026

Necaxa

0 - 1

FT

Pumas UNAM

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina
sky is clear 17.24 °C

Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 4:01 AM

The upcoming Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM promises to be an exciting encounter as both sides look to bounce back from recent defeats. The match will take place at the Estadio Victoria, where the home side will aim to take advantage of their strong record against the visitors. Despite losing their last outing, both teams remain in contention for key positions in the league table, making this fixture crucial for their aspirations.


Necaxa’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Necaxa enter this match sitting 13th in the Liga MX standings, with a record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses this season. Their latest result was a 2-1 defeat away to Pachuca, a setback that underlined their defensive fragility. The team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 17 league matches, a worrying trend that continues to cost them valuable points.


In their last five games, Necaxa have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Despite their inconsistency, they have shown flashes of attacking potential, particularly through players like Javier Ruiz, who has contributed two goals this season and averages 1.2 ball recoveries per game. His performance will be key if Necaxa are to contain Pumas’ offensive power.


At home, the Rayos have historically performed well against Pumas, winning the last four meetings at the Estadio Victoria. This psychological edge could play a role as they look to recover from a difficult run of results. However, their defensive issues remain a major concern, especially against a side that rarely fails to score.


Pumas UNAM’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Pumas UNAM arrive in Aguascalientes in fifth place, with a solid record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses. Their most recent match ended in a 3-2 defeat to Toluca, a result that ended their unbeaten streak but did little to diminish their strong overall form. Over their last five matches, Pumas have collected 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.


The visitors have been particularly effective in attack, having scored in each of their last 13 Liga MX matches, including all of their last 13 away fixtures. Moreover, over 1.5 total goals have been scored in 21 of their last 22 away games, highlighting their tendency to be involved in open, high-scoring contests. Their attacking consistency makes them a dangerous opponent for any team, especially one struggling defensively like Necaxa.


Defensively, Pumas have shown some vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match this season. However, their offensive balance and ability to find the net regularly have kept them among the top sides in the league. Players such as Adalberto Carrasquilla and Pedro Vite have been instrumental in maintaining this attacking rhythm, combining creativity and work rate in midfield.


Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM Analysis and Prediction


When comparing both teams’ current form, Pumas UNAM appear to be in better shape overall, boasting a more consistent attack and a higher league position. However, Necaxa’s home record against the Felinos cannot be ignored, as they have won the last four meetings at the Estadio Victoria. This historical advantage, combined with their need for points to climb the table, suggests that the hosts will approach this match with determination.


Statistically, both teams tend to produce matches with multiple goals. Pumas have been involved in high-scoring encounters throughout the season, while Necaxa’s defensive struggles often lead to open games. The last head-to-head between these sides ended 1-1, but given their recent attacking trends, a more goal-filled contest could be on the cards this time.


Considering that both teams have scored in 56% of their recent matches and that over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 56% of their games, fans can expect an entertaining fixture with plenty of attacking action. Pumas’ offensive momentum and Necaxa’s home advantage make this a balanced matchup, but one that leans toward goals rather than a tight defensive battle.


Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.

Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM - Predictions

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Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Necaxa

Pumas UNAM

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Necaxa and Pumas UNAM in Liga MX

Who will win ?

Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM be played?
The Liga MX match between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM will be played on March 7, 2026 at 03:00.
Where will Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM be played?
The match between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM will be played at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes - Mexico
Who will referee Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM?
The referee for the match will be Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Necaxa to win 2.87, draw 3.60, Pumas UNAM to win 2.35.
What are the betting odds for Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.70 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Necaxa and Pumas UNAM score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM, Necaxa won 2 times, Pumas UNAM won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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