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Necaxa
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Tigres UANL
Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 12:03 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 12:03 PM
The Liga MX continues with an exciting clash in matchday 15 as Necaxa host Tigres UANL at the Estadio Victoria. Both teams arrive with different objectives but share the same urgency for points. The home side are fighting to stay alive in the race for the Liguilla, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position in the top six and maintain momentum after advancing to the semifinals of the CONCACAF Champions Cup. This encounter promises intensity, goals, and a battle of contrasting styles between a team seeking redemption and another trying to confirm its status as a contender.
Necaxa currently sit 12th in the Liga MX standings, a position that keeps them on the edge of the playoff zone. Their campaign has been inconsistent, with five wins, one draw, and eight defeats so far, totaling 16 points. The team has scored 17 goals and conceded 20, showing both attacking potential and defensive fragility. In their most recent outing, they fell 3-1 against Querétaro, a result that interrupted a short positive streak of two consecutive victories against Mazatlán (2-1) and Tijuana (3-0).
At home, Necaxa have shown signs of improvement, winning two of their last three matches. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in the last five games reflects a balanced but not dominant performance. Over the course of the season, they have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, numbers that highlight the need for greater defensive consistency if they want to climb the table.
Among the standout players for Necaxa is Tomás Badaloni, a 25-year-old Argentine forward who has been a regular starter in 10 of 14 matches, contributing four goals and one assist. His presence in attack has been crucial, and he remains one of the main hopes for the home side to find the net. Necaxa’s challenge will be to maintain offensive efficiency while avoiding costly defensive lapses that have hurt them throughout the campaign.
Tigres UANL arrive in sixth place in the Liga MX table, with six wins, two draws, and six defeats, totaling 20 points. Their attack has been productive with 22 goals scored, while their defense has allowed 16. The team recently secured qualification to the semifinals of the CONCACAF Champions Cup, although their 3-1 loss in the quarterfinal second leg left some doubts among supporters. Before that, they had recorded convincing victories over Guadalajara (4-1) and Seattle (2-0), showing their offensive strength when in rhythm.
In their last five matches, Tigres have registered two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Over the season, their averages rise to 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded, confirming their status as one of the most balanced teams in the league. However, one concerning trend is their defensive record away from home: they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 away matches in Liga MX, a vulnerability that Necaxa will look to exploit.
Defensively, Tigres rely on the solid performances of Joaquim, a 27-year-old Brazilian defender who has been a key figure in the CONCACAF competition, scoring twice in five appearances and earning recognition in the team of the week on two occasions. His leadership at the back will be essential to contain Necaxa’s forwards and maintain control of the game.
The upcoming match between Necaxa and Tigres UANL is expected to be a tightly contested battle. The home side need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive, while the visitors aim to stay in the top six and regain confidence after a mixed run of results. Historically, Tigres have dominated this fixture, with three wins and two draws in the last five head-to-head meetings, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game compared to Necaxa’s 1.2. The most recent encounter ended 5-3 in favor of Tigres, suggesting that goals are often on the menu when these two sides meet.
Necaxa’s main challenge will be to find the right balance between attack and defense. Their recent home form offers some optimism, but they must be more clinical in front of goal. Tigres, on the other hand, have the attacking depth to create chances but must avoid the defensive lapses that have cost them points away from home. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends and the fact that Tigres have conceded in every away match, the conditions seem favorable for an open and entertaining contest.
Considering both teams’ recent form, scoring patterns, and defensive vulnerabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Liga MX clash points towards Both Teams To Score – Yes with a 59% probability. Necaxa’s need for victory and Tigres’ attacking quality suggest that both sides are likely to find the net in what promises to be a lively and competitive encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2