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Prediction published on Jun 18, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in World - World Cup | Modified on Jun 18, 2026 5:02 PM
The second round of Group F in the World Cup brings an exciting clash between Netherlands and Sweden. After the opening fixtures, Sweden surprisingly lead the group, while the Netherlands sit in third place. Both teams impressed in their first outings, combining for seven of the ten goals scored in the group so far. With both nations known for their attacking flair, this encounter promises to be one of the most entertaining matches of the round.
The Netherlands began their World Cup campaign with a 2-2 draw against Japan, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. They took the lead twice but were pegged back each time, showing inconsistency at the back. Over their last five matches, the Dutch have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In this tournament, they have scored and conceded two goals per match on average.
Historically, the Netherlands have been strong starters, winning at half time in 7 of their last 11 matches. Their attacking rhythm often improves after the break, as shown by the fact that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 14 home fixtures. However, their defensive record remains a concern, with only three clean sheets in their last ten outings.
Despite these issues, the Dutch remain a dangerous side going forward. Their ability to create chances from wide areas and set pieces makes them a constant threat. The team’s recent performances suggest that they will once again rely on their offensive strength to overcome defensive lapses.
Sweden made a statement in their opening match, thrashing Tunisia 5-1 to take early control of Group F. That victory reflected their attacking depth and efficiency in front of goal. In their last five matches, Sweden have registered three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their World Cup campaign so far shows a similar pattern, with five goals scored and one conceded in their first outing.
Sweden’s attacking consistency is remarkable — they have scored in each of their last seven matches and netted two or more goals in four of their last five. However, their defensive record tells a different story: they have failed to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive games. This imbalance between attack and defense makes their matches particularly open and entertaining.
Another notable trend is their tendency to be involved in high-scoring games. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 26 of their last 27 matches, and in all of their last 15 away fixtures. This pattern suggests that Sweden rarely play cautious football, preferring to rely on their offensive power to outscore opponents rather than defend narrow leads.
This match brings together two teams that thrive on attacking football but struggle to maintain defensive discipline. The Netherlands’ approach often revolves around possession and structured buildup play, while Sweden rely on quick transitions and direct attacking combinations. Both sides have shown they can score freely, but their defensive lapses could again define the outcome.
In their last head-to-head meeting, the Netherlands won 2-0, but that result dates back several years and may not reflect the current balance between the teams. The overall record slightly favors the Dutch, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five encounters, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. However, given the current form of both teams, a more open and goal-filled contest is expected this time.
Sweden’s attacking trio has been in excellent form, while the Netherlands continue to rely on their creative midfielders to dictate the tempo. Both teams are likely to find the net, and the match could hinge on which defense manages to hold firm under pressure. With both sides eager to secure early qualification for the knockout stage, the intensity is expected to be high from the first whistle.
All indicators point toward a high-scoring encounter. Both teams have shown attacking efficiency and defensive fragility, making the Both Teams To Score (Yes) market particularly appealing. The Dutch have failed to score only once in their last ten matches, while Sweden have found the net in seven consecutive games. With both sides averaging more than two goals per match in this tournament, another open contest seems inevitable.
According to the latest probabilities, the Netherlands hold a 51% chance of winning, the draw stands at 23%, and Sweden have a 26% chance. For goal-related markets, Over 2.5 goals and BTTS – Yes both carry a 58% probability, reinforcing the expectation of an entertaining, end-to-end match.
Netherlands vs Sweden prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Netherlands
Sweden
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
9
1
7
3