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New York City vs Chicago Fire Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Major League Soccer 25-07-2026

New York City

11:30 PM

July 25, 2026

Chicago Fire

Yankee Stadium
Ricardo Montero
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Jul 24, 2026 2:16 PM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Jul 24, 2026 2:16 PM

Major League Soccer returns quickly for round 18 as New York City host Chicago Fire on July 26, 2026. Both teams occupy qualifying positions in the Eastern Conference, with Chicago Fire ranked third and New York City sixth. The hosts resumed their campaign with a victory over Columbus Crew, while the visitors suffered a narrow defeat against Inter Miami. Those contrasting results add another layer to a fixture involving two sides with productive season scoring averages. New York City have also enjoyed the stronger recent head-to-head record, but Chicago Fire arrive with an attack that has consistently found the net in league competition.

New York City Recent Form and Key Statistics

New York City returned to action successfully on July 22, recording a 2-1 away victory against Columbus Crew. That result gave the sixth-ranked side a positive start following the resumption of the Major League Soccer season and provides useful momentum before this home assignment.

The hosts have produced mixed results across their latest five matches, collecting two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their average during that sequence stands at one goal scored and one conceded per game, showing a balanced record in which neither their attack nor their defence has consistently dominated. The win over Columbus Crew was therefore important, particularly because New York City scored twice after averaging only one goal per match over that recent five-game sample.

Across the wider league campaign, their numbers are more expansive. New York City have registered six wins, four draws and six losses, scoring an average of 1.7 goals while conceding 1.4 per fixture. Those figures suggest that their season as a whole has produced more attacking output than their latest run alone. The challenge will be to carry the efficiency shown against Columbus Crew into a meeting with a Chicago Fire team sitting three places above them in the ranking.

The recent direct record offers further encouragement to the home side. In the supplied head-to-head summary, New York City have taken three victories and two draws without a defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The latest meeting finished 3-1 on September 14, 2025. Although past encounters cannot determine the outcome of a new game, that unbeaten sequence gives New York City a notable statistical foundation ahead of this contest.

Chicago Fire Recent Form and Key Statistics

Chicago Fire enter the match after losing 3-2 against Inter Miami on July 22. Despite coming away without a point, scoring twice continued their established attacking trend. Chicago Fire have found the net at least once in each of their last 12 Major League Soccer matches, a sequence that underlines their ability to create scoring output with considerable regularity.

The visitors have won three and lost two of their latest five fixtures, with no draws during that period. Their average of 2.0 goals scored per match is stronger than New York City’s recent attacking figure, although they have also conceded 1.6 per game. These numbers describe a run featuring both offensive production and defensive vulnerability: Chicago Fire have demonstrated that they can score freely, but the three goals conceded against Inter Miami also show that finding the net does not always guarantee a positive result.

Their overall Major League Soccer record consists of eight wins, two draws and five defeats. Chicago Fire average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across the season, helping them hold third place in the ranking. Compared with New York City’s campaign totals, the visitors have won two more matches and lost one fewer, while also maintaining the higher scoring average.

The match context identifies Robert Lewandowski as an experienced attacking arrival who is seeking his first goal for Chicago Fire. The visitors are also described as being without their regular starting forward, making the contribution of their available attackers particularly relevant. Even with that absence, the team’s 12-match league scoring streak and recent average of two goals per game provide clear evidence of the threat New York City must attempt to contain.

New York City vs Chicago Fire Match Analysis

This fixture brings together a home team encouraged by a 2-1 victory and an away side looking to respond immediately to a 3-2 loss. New York City can draw confidence from their unbeaten five-match head-to-head summary, as well as from the fact that they conceded an average of only 0.8 goals across those meetings. Their broader season record, however, remains finely balanced at six wins and six defeats, so consistency is still an important issue.

Chicago Fire possess the stronger league ranking and the more productive recent attack. Their last-five scoring average is twice New York City’s figure over the equivalent period, while their season average of 1.9 goals is also slightly higher than the hosts’ 1.7. Most significantly, they have scored in 12 consecutive league matches. That consistency means New York City face an opponent that has continued to generate goals even when results have not gone its way.

  • New York City: two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches.
  • Chicago Fire: three wins and two defeats in their last five matches.
  • Season scoring averages: 1.7 goals for New York City and 1.9 for Chicago Fire.
  • Chicago Fire scoring run: at least one goal in 12 consecutive Major League Soccer games.
  • Recent head-to-head summary: three New York City wins and two draws.

The statistical picture therefore creates an intriguing contrast. New York City have the superior recent record in this matchup and come into the game after a win, whereas Chicago Fire hold the higher league position and have displayed greater attacking productivity. Both teams also concede more than one goal per match across the season, leaving room for either attack to influence the contest. The hosts will aim to extend their unbeaten head-to-head sequence, while the visitors seek to turn another scoring performance into a better result than the one achieved against Inter Miami.

New York City vs Chicago Fire - Predictions

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New York City vs Chicago Fire: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

New York City

Chicago Fire

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

10%

1

90%

9

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

60%

6

40%

4

BetMines

Standings of New York City and Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer

Regular Season - Eastern Conference - Ranking

Team

3

Chicago Fire

15

8

2

5

29:19

26

1.73

L
W
W
W
L
6

New York City

16

6

4

6

27:22

22

1.38

W
W
D
L
W
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs

Regular Season - Western Conference - Ranking

Team

Final Series
Final Series Play-offs

Who will win ?

New York City vs Chicago Fire: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will New York City vs Chicago Fire be played?
The Major League Soccer match between New York City and Chicago Fire will be played on July 25, 2026 at 23:30.
Where will New York City vs Chicago Fire be played?
The match between New York City and Chicago Fire will be played at Yankee Stadium, New York City - USA
Who will referee New York City vs Chicago Fire?
The referee for the match will be Ricardo Montero.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for New York City vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer?
The odds are: New York City to win 2.35, draw 3.75, Chicago Fire to win 2.80.
What are the betting odds for New York City vs Chicago Fire for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.65 and Under 2.5 at 2.20.
Will both New York City and Chicago Fire score in the Major League Soccer?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.53, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.37.
What is the most likely correct score for New York City vs Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between New York City and Chicago Fire?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between New York City and Chicago Fire, New York City won 3 times, Chicago Fire won 0, and 2 ended in a draw.

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