Tools
New York RB
1 - 0
FT
New England
Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 7:03 PM
The 2026 Major League Soccer season is just getting underway, and the second round brings an exciting clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution. The match will take place at the Sports Illustrated Stadium on February 28 at 14:30 local time. Both teams started their campaigns on the road, with contrasting results: the Red Bulls earned a 2-1 victory over Orlando City, while the Revolution suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat against Nashville SC. This encounter promises to be a key early test for both sides as they look to establish momentum in the new season.
New York RB enter their home debut full of confidence after a strong start to the season. Their 2-1 win away at Orlando City showcased both resilience and attacking efficiency. According to recent data, the Red Bulls have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. In the current MLS campaign, they hold a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
One of the most consistent trends for the Red Bulls has been their attacking presence early in matches. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half in 23 of their last 25 MLS games, highlighting their ability to start aggressively. However, they have also shown vulnerability before halftime, having lost at halftime in 9 of their last 14 league matches and in 6 of their last 10 home fixtures. This duality suggests that while they often begin games with intensity, maintaining control throughout remains a challenge.
Historically, the Red Bulls have struggled slightly in this matchup, with a head-to-head record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last five meetings against New England. Yet, their recent dominance at home and the momentum from their opening win could tilt the balance in their favor this time around.
For New England Revolution, the season opener could not have gone much worse. Their 4-1 loss to Nashville SC exposed defensive weaknesses that have persisted over recent months. In their last five matches, the Revolution have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their current MLS record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 4.0 conceded.
Despite their struggles, New England have shown a tendency for second-half action, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 14 MLS matches. This pattern suggests that their games often open up after the break, whether through their own attacking efforts or defensive lapses. Ranked 13th in the league, the Revolution will be desperate to tighten up defensively and avoid a second consecutive defeat that could set a negative tone for the season.
In their most recent head-to-head encounter with New York RB, played on July 16, 2025, the Revolution emerged victorious in a thrilling 5-3 contest. However, given their current form and defensive instability, repeating that performance away from home will be a tall order.
The rivalry between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution has been one of the most competitive in MLS history, with 79 previous meetings. The Revolution hold the upper hand with 36 wins, compared to 23 victories for the Red Bulls and 20 draws. However, recent trends favor the home side, as New York have lost only once in their last 11 encounters against New England in New York.
From a tactical perspective, the Red Bulls’ strength lies in their high pressing and quick transitions, which often lead to early goals. Their challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline, especially given their tendency to concede before halftime. The Revolution, on the other hand, must focus on defensive organization and counterattacks, as their backline was heavily exposed in the opening round. If they can withstand early pressure, they might find opportunities in the later stages of the match, where they typically perform better.
Given the attacking nature of both teams and their recent goal-scoring patterns, this fixture could produce plenty of action in both halves. The Red Bulls’ home advantage and superior momentum make them slight favorites, but the Revolution’s attacking potential ensures that the contest remains unpredictable.
Based on the statistical trends and current form, the BetMines prediction points towards a New York Red Bulls win (1) with a 51% probability. The draw (X) stands at 24%, while an away win (2) for New England Revolution is estimated at 25%. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability that both teams will score, suggesting an open and entertaining match.
With both sides eager to make a statement early in the season, fans can expect an intense battle filled with attacking intent. However, the Red Bulls’ stronger start and home advantage could prove decisive in securing all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
New York RB
New England
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
3
7
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1