New York RB host St. Louis City in round 27 of the Major League Soccer regular season on September 26, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:30 local time at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison. The home side enter the fixture eighth in the rankings and currently inside the postseason places, but their position remains vulnerable after an inconsistent campaign. St. Louis City are third and approach the contest with stronger season numbers, an extended unbeaten sequence and an impressive recent scoring rate. With New York RB trying to protect their postseason prospects and the visitors looking to strengthen their own position, this MLS match carries considerable importance for both teams.

New York RB Recent Form and Key Statistics

New York RB have collected nine wins, six draws and 11 defeats during the regular season. Their 34 goals scored and 48 conceded underline the main difficulty they have faced: although they average 1.3 goals per match, they are allowing an average of 1.9. That defensive record could become particularly relevant against an opponent arriving in productive attacking form.

The hosts nevertheless come into this fixture after a positive result, having defeated New York City 1-0 away from home on September 18. That victory provided a welcome clean sheet and demonstrated that New York RB can compete effectively in a tight contest. Their broader five-match record is less convincing, however, with two victories, one draw and two defeats.

Attacking output has also been limited during that five-game period. New York RB averaged only 0.6 goals scored per match while conceding 1.0. The defensive average represents an improvement compared with their full-season figure, but the reduced scoring rate leaves little margin for error. If the hosts fall behind, they may need to produce significantly more in attack than they have managed across their latest fixtures.

• Season record: nine wins, six draws and 11 defeats.
• Last five matches: two wins, one draw and two losses.
• Recent averages: 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
• Latest result: a 1-0 victory over New York City.

St. Louis City Recent Form and Key Statistics

St. Louis City travel to this match in excellent form. They beat Toronto 3-1 on September 20 and have registered four wins and one draw across their last five outings. During that sequence, they averaged 3.0 goals scored per game and conceded 1.2, giving them a clear recent attacking advantage over New York RB.

The visitors have also put together a long run without defeat in Major League Soccer. St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last 16 league matches and have scored at least once in every game during that sequence. Their full-season record stands at 12 victories, eight draws and six defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The campaign totals supplied for the visitors are 45 goals for and 36 against.

Several trends point toward St. Louis City making an impact from the opening half. They have not been behind at half-time in any of their last 17 Major League Soccer matches, while they have held a half-time lead in 10 of their previous 13 league fixtures. That combination reflects how consistently they have established a strong position before the interval.

Their matches have also regularly produced more than one goal. At least two total goals were recorded in 37 of St. Louis City's last 40 MLS games, as well as in 19 of their previous 20 away league fixtures. In addition, the second half featured at least one goal in 27 of their last 29 MLS matches. Both teams scored after half-time in 11 of the visitors' previous 15 league games, highlighting how their contests can remain active after the break.

• Current MLS unbeaten run: 16 matches.
• Last five matches: four wins and one draw.
• Recent attacking average: 3.0 goals per match.
• Scoring sequence: at least one St. Louis City goal in 16 consecutive MLS games.

New York RB vs St. Louis City Match Analysis

The available statistics create an intriguing contrast. New York RB have home advantage and arrive after a 1-0 win, but their recent scoring average of 0.6 goals is modest. St. Louis City, by comparison, have scored at three goals per game across their last five matches and remain unbeaten in league action over a much longer period.

The season records reinforce the visitors' stronger overall profile. St. Louis City have earned three more victories while playing the same number of matches, and their averages are better at both ends: 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded compared with New York RB's 1.3 scored and 1.9 allowed. Even so, the supplied win probabilities indicate a competitive contest, assigning New York RB 40%, the draw 26% and St. Louis City 33%.

Goals are an important theme surrounding the fixture. The probability of both teams scoring is listed at 58%, while the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55%. The head-to-head summary is balanced, with one New York RB win, one draw and one defeat, alongside averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded by New York RB. The latest listed meeting finished 3-1 on January 24, 2026.

The first half may be particularly significant. St. Louis City's record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 17 consecutive MLS matches, combined with 10 half-time leads in their last 13 league games, supports the prospect of meaningful action before the interval. New York RB's challenge will be to reproduce the defensive control shown in their latest victory while finding enough attacking output to contain a visiting side that has scored in 16 straight league fixtures.

New York RB vs St. Louis City prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 83% probability.