Tools
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
FT
Brisbane Roar
Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 7:02 AM by Dario in Australia - A-League Men | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 7:02 AM
The upcoming A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Brisbane Roar promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Taking place at McDonald Jones Stadium, this encounter pits two sides enjoying improved campaigns against each other. The Jets currently sit second in the standings, while the Roar occupy sixth place. Both teams have shown progress compared to last season, but their recent trajectories suggest contrasting momentum heading into this match.
Newcastle Jets are experiencing a strong run of form, having collected 24 points from 14 matches — already close to their total from the previous season. Their recent 4-1 triumph over Wellington Phoenix on January 23 highlighted their attacking prowess, extending their winning streak to four consecutive games. The Jets have been the most prolific side in the league so far, netting 30 goals, which translates to an impressive average of 2.1 per match.
At home, the Jets have been both entertaining and unpredictable. They have split their eight home fixtures evenly between wins and defeats (four each), but their offensive output has been remarkable, scoring 10 goals in their last three matches at McDonald Jones Stadium. Their ability to find the net consistently, particularly in the second half, has been a defining feature — with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 31 of their last 34 league games. Defensively, they still concede an average of 1.8 goals per match, but their attacking firepower often compensates for any lapses at the back.
With the longest active winning streak in the division and a potent attack, the Jets enter this fixture full of confidence. Their recent performances suggest they are capable of maintaining pressure on the league leaders and extending their dominance over Brisbane Roar at home.
Brisbane Roar have also shown signs of improvement this season, already matching their entire points tally from the previous campaign with 21 points. However, their recent form has been less encouraging. A 3-2 defeat to Adelaide United on January 24 marked their fourth loss in five matches since the start of the year, indicating a worrying dip in consistency. Despite this, their overall record remains balanced, with six wins, three draws, and six defeats across the season.
Offensively, the Roar have averaged just 1.0 goal per game, while conceding 1.1 on average. Their away form has been respectable, collecting 11 points from eight matches (three wins, two draws, three losses), ranking them among the top four traveling sides in the league. However, their record at McDonald Jones Stadium is poor — they have lost their last three visits, conceding at least three goals in each of those encounters. This trend will be a major concern as they prepare to face one of the league’s most in-form attacks.
While Brisbane Roar have shown resilience on the road, their recent defensive struggles and inability to contain Newcastle’s attack in previous meetings suggest they face an uphill battle. To get a result, they will need to rediscover their early-season solidity and find a way to limit the Jets’ scoring opportunities.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. Newcastle Jets are flying high, combining attacking flair with growing confidence, while Brisbane Roar are struggling to regain their rhythm after a promising start to the campaign. The Jets’ recent dominance in head-to-head encounters — including a 3-0 win in November — further strengthens their case as favorites.
Given the attacking trends of both teams, goals are likely. The Jets have been involved in high-scoring matches throughout the season, and Brisbane’s defensive vulnerabilities could once again be exposed. With both teams averaging over one goal per game and the Jets boasting the league’s most potent offense, another open contest seems probable. The data also supports this, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 61% of their matches and both teams scoring in 61% of games.
Ultimately, the combination of home advantage, superior form, and historical dominance makes Newcastle Jets the more likely winners. Brisbane Roar’s recent struggles, particularly away from home, suggest they may find it difficult to contain the hosts’ relentless attack.
Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 41% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2