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Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 04-01-2026

Newcastle United

2 - 0

FT

Crystal Palace

St. James' Park
J. Brooks
sky is clear -1.92 °C

Prediction published on Jan 2, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 2, 2026 6:03 PM

The Premier League returns to action this weekend as Newcastle United host Crystal Palace at St. James’ Park for their first match of 2026. Both sides are separated by just three places in the standings, with Newcastle sitting 13th and Palace 10th. The Magpies will look to build on their recent win, while the visitors aim to end a worrying run of form that has seen them slide down the table. With both teams still eyeing European qualification, this fixture promises intensity and attacking football.


Newcastle United’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Newcastle United ended 2025 on a positive note, defeating Burnley 3-1 away from home. That result was their third win in eight matches across all competitions and a much-needed boost after a mixed run of results. In the Premier League, they have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Despite their inconsistency, the Magpies remain within touching distance of the European spots, sitting just four points off the top five.


At home, Newcastle have been formidable. They are unbeaten in their last 10 matches at St. James’ Park, winning eight of them. The team has scored at least two goals in each of their last 10 home fixtures and has not lost at half time in 14 consecutive home games. Their attacking rhythm is consistent, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 13 home matches and at least one goal in the second half in 21 of their last 22 overall. However, defensive issues persist — they have conceded in 12 straight league games.


In terms of personnel, the Magpies continue to deal with injuries to Dan Burn, Sven Botman, and Tino Livramento, but Kieran Trippier’s expected return offers a timely boost. Yoane Wissa, who scored his first league goal for the club against Burnley, is likely to retain his place in attack, supported by Joelinton and Bruno Guimarães, who have combined for 10 goals this season. Newcastle’s home dominance and attacking depth make them strong contenders to secure another victory.


Crystal Palace’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Crystal Palace arrive in Newcastle struggling for form. They have gone six matches without a win, losing four and drawing two, including a 1-1 home draw against Fulham in their most recent outing. Their early-season momentum has faded, and they now find themselves three points outside the top six. In the Premier League, Palace’s record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.


Palace’s away form has been inconsistent, though they have shown flashes of competitiveness, winning at half time in 8 of their last 13 away games. However, their attack has struggled recently, particularly with key absences. The squad is heavily depleted due to injuries and international duties, with up to 10 players potentially unavailable. The absence of Ismaila Sarr, away at the AFCON, has been particularly damaging to their offensive output. On a positive note, Jean-Philippe Mateta ended a seven-game goal drought by scoring against Fulham, and his return to form could be crucial for the visitors.


Historically, Palace have found it difficult at St. James’ Park, failing to win there since 2021 and losing three of their last five visits. Their last head-to-head meeting ended in a heavy 5-0 defeat, underlining the challenge they face against a Newcastle side that thrives at home.


Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace Analysis and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Newcastle’s home record is one of the best in the league, while Palace’s recent slump has exposed their lack of depth and attacking sharpness. The Magpies’ ability to score consistently at home, combined with Palace’s defensive vulnerabilities, suggests that the hosts are well-positioned to claim all three points.


Both sides have been involved in high-scoring encounters recently, with Newcastle seeing over 1.5 goals in 13 consecutive home matches and Palace conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Given these trends, goals are expected at both ends. Newcastle’s attacking trio, supported by a strong midfield, should be able to exploit Palace’s weakened defense, while the visitors may still find opportunities through Mateta’s physical presence up front.


In summary, Newcastle’s home advantage, superior recent form, and attacking consistency make them the favorites. Palace’s injury crisis and poor away record further tilt the balance in favor of the Magpies. Expect a competitive match, but one that likely ends with a home victory.


Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 44% probability.

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace - Predictions

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Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Newcastle United

Crystal Palace

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

10%

1

90%

9

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Newcastle United and Crystal Palace in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

12

Newcastle United

38

14

7

17

53:55

49

1.29

L
W
D
W
L
15

Crystal Palace

38

11

12

15

41:51

45

1.18

L
D
L
D
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace be played?
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace will be played on January 4, 2026 at 15:00.
Where will Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace be played?
The match between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace will be played at St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne - England
Who will referee Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
The referee for the match will be J. Brooks.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League?
The odds are: Newcastle United to win 1.66, draw 4.10, Crystal Palace to win 4.75.
What are the betting odds for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Newcastle United and Crystal Palace score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, Newcastle United won 2 times, Crystal Palace won 1, and 2 ended in a draw.

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