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Prediction published on Apr 14, 2025 12:17 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Apr 16, 2025 9:26 AM
On Wednesday, April 16th, at St James’ Park, Newcastle United will host Crystal Palace in a rescheduled fixture from Matchday 29 of the Premier League. The match was postponed due to the Carabao Cup final, which the Magpies won against Liverpool, adding a major trophy to their season. After a dominant 4-1 win over Manchester United last weekend, Newcastle have a golden opportunity to climb to third place in the standings, just behind Liverpool and Arsenal. A spot in next season’s Champions League is well within reach for Eddie Howe’s side, who are enjoying an excellent season and come into this clash on the back of four straight league victories. They show no signs of slowing down as the most crucial part of the season approaches. Their opponents for this midweek clash, Crystal Palace, appear to be the ideal fixture on paper. The Eagles have little left to play for this season, sitting comfortably away from the relegation zone but far from the European spots. In their most recent league match, Oliver Glasner’s men lost 5-2 to Manchester City, despite initially leading 0-2. That result ended a strong unbeaten run and highlighted the contrast in intensity between teams still fighting for objectives and those winding down their campaign. All signs point toward a strong performance from the hosts, who will be eager to extend their winning streak and give fans yet another reason to celebrate after their Carabao Cup triumph.
Newcastle are currently in great form, having won five consecutive matches across all competitions. Their latest victory, a commanding 4-1 over Manchester United, showcased their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. They are averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per match during this run.
Thanks to that win, the Magpies have moved up to fourth place with 56 points (17 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses), sitting two points ahead of Manchester City in fifth.
Newcastle have also started strong in recent games, scoring first in each of their last six matches. At St James’ Park, they’ve won their last three Premier League home fixtures—against Nottingham Forest, Brentford, and Manchester United—scoring 10 goals and conceding 5. Their home average stands at 2.0 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game.
Crystal Palace’s 5-2 loss at the Etihad Stadium brought their league record to 10 defeats and kept them at 43 points. The defeat ended a solid run of 7 unbeaten games (6 wins, 1 draw).
Glasner’s team have struggled defensively of late, conceding in each of their last three matches. However, Palace have been fairly impressive away from home this season, ranking 6th in the Premier League for away form. They’ve collected 23 points on the road, with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per away match.
The reverse fixture in November ended 1-1, with Newcastle taking the lead through a Guehi own goal before Munoz equalized in stoppage time. That said, Crystal Palace haven’t won at St James’ Park since 2021—since then, there have been 2 draws and 2 wins for Newcastle, including last season’s 4-0.
The hosts are clear favorites for this one, not only due to their superior form but also their greater motivation. With the chance to increase their lead over rivals and leapfrog Nottingham Forest into second, Eddie Howe’s side will be fully focused.
Palace, already safe from relegation and out of the race for Europe, may use this final stretch to start building for next season.
Given the difference in ambition and recent momentum, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace is clearly in favour of a win for the hosts.
Newcastle United (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schär, Burn, Livramento; Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Murphy, Barnes, Isak. Manager: Eddie Howe
Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1): Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Wharton, Lerma, Mitchell; Sarr, Eze; Mateta. Manager: Oliver Glasner
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
10
0