Newcastle United host Hull City at St. James' Park on Saturday, September 19, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 local time. The Premier League matchday five fixture brings together a home side seeking an immediate response and a newly promoted team enjoying an unbeaten start. Newcastle enter the contest in 12th place with five points from one win, two draws and one defeat, while Hull sit fourth after collecting eight points from two victories and two draws. The Magpies were beaten 4-1 by Leeds United in their latest game, whereas the Tigers earned an encouraging 2-2 draw away to Chelsea. Newcastle have scored and conceded regularly at home, but Hull's disciplined opening to the campaign suggests that this could be a demanding test for both teams.

Newcastle United's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Newcastle United return home after a difficult evening against Leeds United on September 14. They trailed 3-0 before half-time and conceded a fourth goal in the second half, with their only reply arriving in the 90th minute. The 4-1 loss was their first Premier League defeat under Matthias Jaissle and left them with a season record of one win, two draws and one loss.

The Magpies have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In the Premier League this season, their scoring average is also 1.8 per game, although they have conceded an average of 2.0. Their two league fixtures at St. James' Park have both finished 2-2, first against Liverpool and then against Bournemouth. In the latter game, Newcastle recovered from a two-goal deficit to secure a point. Their only home victory so far this season came against West Brom in the EFL Cup second round.

The longer-term home numbers point strongly towards another match containing chances at both ends. Newcastle's last 21 home fixtures have produced over 1.5 total goals, while each of their previous 14 home games has featured at least one goal conceded. They have also scored in 13 consecutive home matches, with both teams finding the net in every one of those 13 fixtures. Within Premier League competition, Newcastle's last nine home games have all gone over 2.5 goals.

• Newcastle have scored in 27 of their last 29 matches.
• Their previous 13 Premier League home games have produced over 1.5 goals.
• A second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 21 home fixtures.
• A first-half goal has occurred in their last 11 Premier League home matches.

Yoane Wissa is identified as the main attacking threat for the hosts and is expected to lead the forward line. Newcastle are dealing with several unavailable players, with Nico Gonzalez, Anthony Elanga, William Osula and Dan Burn among those expected to miss the game.

Hull City's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Hull City have made an impressive transition to the Premier League after winning promotion through the play-offs. The Tigers are unbeaten after four league matches, recording two wins and two draws while averaging 1.3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game. That return has taken them to eight points and fourth place ahead of their trip to St. James' Park.

The visitors drew 2-2 with Chelsea on September 12 and emerged with credit from their performance. Hull restricted Chelsea to 0.91 expected goals and registered 14 shots compared with their opponents' 12. Oli McBurnie and Cho also had important second-half opportunities that could have turned one point into three. The result extended Hull's unbeaten league record, although they are now without a victory in three matches across all competitions following a 1-0 EFL Cup defeat to Sunderland and a goalless draw with Aston Villa.

Across their latest five fixtures, Hull have one win, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 0.8 goals both scored and conceded. Their ability to remain competitive during the opening half has been especially consistent: the Tigers have not been behind at half-time in their last 17 matches. They have also avoided a half-time deficit in 18 of their previous 20 away games.

Oli McBurnie could be central to Hull's approach once again. He leads the Premier League for combined aerial and ground duels won, with 36 successful duels. His physical presence offers the visitors a focal point when they regain possession. Hull also have a substantial list of absentees, including Nobel Mendy, Hidemasa Morita, Ilyas Ansah and Charlie Hughes.

Newcastle United vs Hull City Match Analysis

The contrast between Newcastle's home scoring trends and Hull's unbeaten league record creates an intriguing Premier League preview. Newcastle will be expected to react to the heavy defeat at Leeds, but their defensive record makes control difficult to assume. They have conceded in 14 successive home games and have allowed an average of two goals per league match this season. At the other end, their record of scoring in 13 straight home fixtures indicates that they continue to carry a reliable attacking threat.

Hull arrive with confidence after taking a point at Chelsea and remain unbeaten in the league. Their season average of only 0.5 goals conceded demonstrates the resilience behind their strong opening, although the 2-2 draw in their latest fixture showed that they can also become involved in a more open contest. Newcastle's two Premier League home games have ended with the same 2-2 scoreline, strengthening the possibility of another competitive match in which both sides contribute.

The historical summary gives Newcastle two wins, three draws and no defeats in the listed head-to-head record, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. However, the most recent meeting ended 2-0 on July 27, 2024. For this game, Newcastle have a 47% win probability, compared with 27% for the draw and 26% for a Hull victory. Those figures make the hosts the likelier individual winner, but Hull's two-win, two-draw league start means the visitors cannot be discounted.

From a goals perspective, the available statistics are closely balanced: under 2.5 goals is rated at 51%, while over 2.5 stands at 49%. The stronger narrative comes from Newcastle's repeated home pattern of scoring and conceding. Both teams have scored in each of their last 13 home matches, and Hull demonstrated against Chelsea that they can create enough opportunities to threaten away from home. With the Magpies under pressure to respond and the Tigers protecting their unbeaten start, goals at both ends appear consistent with the central statistical trends.

Newcastle United vs Hull City prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.