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Newcastle United
6:45 PM
August 26, 2026
West Bromwich Albion
Prediction published on Aug 24, 2026 7:05 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Aug 24, 2026 7:05 PM
Newcastle United welcome West Bromwich Albion to St. James' Park in the second round of the 2026-27 Carabao Cup on Wednesday, August 26. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time, with the hosts beginning their campaign against opponents who have already recorded a 4-1 victory over Rotherham in the competition. Newcastle enter the fixture after drawing 2-2 with Liverpool, while West Bromwich Albion arrive on a five-match winning run and fresh from a 3-1 success against Burnley. The visitors' scoring form and Newcastle's persistent defensive difficulties point towards an entertaining cup tie in which both attacks may have opportunities.
Newcastle United started their Premier League season with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool on August 23. Matthias Jaissle's team appeared close to taking all three points before Dominik Szoboszlai converted a late penalty to produce the final score. Although the result demonstrated Newcastle's ability to compete in attack, it also extended a recurring pattern of matches in which the Magpies have found the net without keeping their opponents out.
The home side's last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two defeats. Across that sequence, Newcastle averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. They have allowed at least one goal in 24 of their previous 25 matches, while every one of their last 12 home fixtures has featured at least one goal conceded by Newcastle. The team has also conceded in all five games under Jaissle since pre-season.
Matches at Newcastle's home ground have consistently provided goalmouth action. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 21 home games, and both teams have found the net in the most recent 11. Their Carabao Cup record follows a similar trend, with over 1.5 total goals landing in Newcastle's last 10 matches in the tournament. These sequences make a quiet contest difficult to anticipate, even if the hosts are capable of establishing an early advantage.
There is also substantial evidence of activity before the interval. At least one first-half goal has been scored in 24 of Newcastle's previous 26 matches. The Magpies have led at half-time in their last three home games, as well as in 11 of their last 14 Carabao Cup fixtures. At home in this competition, they have been ahead at the break in seven of the latest 10 matches.
West Bromwich Albion approach this cup assignment with a perfect record across their last five matches: five wins, no draws and no defeats. Their average of three goals scored per game during that run underlines their attacking momentum, while the average of 0.8 conceded shows that their victories have not depended on keeping a clean sheet every time.
James Morrison's side won all four of its pre-season outings before opening the competitive schedule with a convincing 4-1 Carabao Cup victory over Rotherham. West Brom then defeated Burnley 3-1 on August 23. According to their season figures for this competition, the Baggies have one win from one match, averaging four goals scored and one conceded. They have registered nine goals across their opening three competitive fixtures of the season but have also conceded in each of them.
That combination is particularly relevant against a Newcastle team whose home matches regularly produce goals for both sides. West Brom's current form suggests they travel with a genuine attacking threat rather than simply hoping to contain the hosts. At the same time, conceding in all three competitive appearances leaves room for Newcastle to create chances of their own.
The latest head-to-head meeting ended 0-0 on March 7, 2021. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Newcastle have two wins, West Brom have one, and two games have finished level. Newcastle averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over that sequence. However, the teams' more recent individual trends provide a much stronger goals narrative than the scoreless result in their last direct encounter.
This Carabao Cup preview brings together two sides with clear attacking evidence and repeated defensive concessions. Newcastle United have scored and conceded in four of their last five competitive matches dating back to the previous season. Their latest 2-2 result continued that pattern, while the run of 11 consecutive home games in which both teams scored offers especially strong support for another open contest.
West Bromwich Albion provide an equally compelling attacking case. Five straight victories, an average of three goals across their last five matches and nine goals in three competitive games all indicate that the visitors are capable of testing the Newcastle defence. Their 4-1 cup win and 3-1 weekend victory also show that their recent momentum has been accompanied by multiple-goal performances.
The main question is whether either defence can interrupt those trends. Newcastle have conceded in 24 of 25 matches and in 12 successive home fixtures, while West Brom have allowed a goal in every competitive game this season. The available BTTS figures assign a 57% probability to Yes, compared with 43% for No. That assessment fits both teams' recent records without requiring either side to dominate the result.
An early breakthrough is also plausible because Newcastle's matches have contained a first-half goal in 24 of the last 26, and they have frequently led at the interval in Carabao Cup games. The second half may remain important as well: Newcastle's last 21 home matches have all produced at least one goal after the break, while both teams scored during the second half in each of their latest four home fixtures. Taken together, the statistics favour a game with chances at both ends and sustained scoring potential.
Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Newcastle United
West Bromwich Albion
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3