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Newcastle United
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West Ham United
Prediction published on May 15, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 15, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between Newcastle United and West Ham United promises to be a decisive one in the battle for survival and mid-table pride. Scheduled for matchday 37, this encounter at St James’ Park pits the 13th-placed Magpies against the 18th-placed Hammers. With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring games, this fixture could once again deliver plenty of goals and drama. Newcastle, sitting comfortably away from relegation danger, will aim to end their home campaign on a high, while West Ham desperately need points to keep their top-flight hopes alive.
Newcastle United enter this match after a 1-1 draw away to Nottingham Forest, a result that halted a worrying run of defeats. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall Premier League record stands at 13 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Although their European hopes have faded, the Magpies still have motivation to finish inside the top ten.
At home, Newcastle’s matches have been consistently entertaining. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 20 home games, and both teams have found the net in 19 of their last 21 fixtures overall. The Magpies have also scored in 20 of their last 21 matches, showing that their attack remains potent even when results have been inconsistent. However, defensive lapses continue to be an issue, as they have conceded at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 matches.
Recent home form has been mixed, with five defeats in their last seven Premier League games at St James’ Park. Yet, one of those two wins came in their most recent home outing, a 3-1 victory over Brighton. That result could serve as a confidence boost heading into this crucial fixture. The team’s attacking approach often leads to open games, and with their tendency to both score and concede, another goal-filled contest seems likely.
West Ham United travel north in desperate need of points. They currently sit 18th in the table with 36 points (9 wins, 9 draws, 18 losses), two points adrift of safety. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches. The Hammers average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game in that period, but their inability to turn performances into consistent victories has left them in a precarious position.
Last weekend’s 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal was a bitter blow, marking their second consecutive league loss. Away from home, West Ham have struggled to find rhythm, losing three of their last five Premier League trips (one win, one draw). Despite these setbacks, they can take encouragement from their recent record against Newcastle, having won two of the last three meetings, including a 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.
Statistically, West Ham’s matches tend to be tighter than Newcastle’s. Under 0.5 goals have been scored in three of their last 13 matches, and two of their last ten away games have also ended with fewer than 0.5 goals. However, given the attacking nature of their opponents and the urgency of their situation, the Hammers may be forced to adopt a more adventurous approach this time. Their survival hopes hinge on finding goals, and they will look to exploit Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities.
The recent head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced, with both teams winning twice and drawing once in their last five encounters. The most recent meeting ended in a 3-1 win for West Ham, a result they would gladly repeat as they fight to stay in the Premier League. Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with an average of 3.6 total goals per game across those five matches.
Both teams have shown a clear pattern of attacking football combined with defensive fragility. Newcastle’s home matches are almost guaranteed to feature goals, with over 1.5 goals scored in all of their last 13 Premier League home fixtures. Similarly, both teams have scored in the majority of their recent games, suggesting that another open contest is on the cards. West Ham’s need for victory could further increase the attacking intensity, especially if they fall behind early.
Given the statistical trends and the stakes involved, this match is likely to be played at a high tempo, with both sides pushing forward. Newcastle will rely on their home advantage and attacking consistency, while West Ham’s desperation for points could make them dangerous on the counterattack. The combination of these factors points towards a match with multiple goals and plenty of action at both ends.
All indicators suggest that this Premier League clash will deliver goals. Newcastle’s home fixtures have been consistently high-scoring, and West Ham’s recent meetings with the Magpies have followed the same pattern. With both teams capable of finding the net but struggling defensively, the most logical prediction focuses on goals rather than a specific winner.
Newcastle United vs West Ham United prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Newcastle United
West Ham United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
10
0