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Newell's Old Boys
12:00 AM
August 23, 2026
Banfield
Prediction published on Aug 21, 2026 12:11 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Aug 21, 2026 12:11 AM
Newell's Old Boys welcome Banfield to Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa in Rosario on August 23, 2026, for a Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture carrying several contrasting statistical signals. The hosts are ranked sixth in the competition, while the visitors occupy 11th place. Newell's arrive after a 2-0 victory over Deportivo Riestra, whereas Banfield's latest outing ended in a 2-2 draw with Midland. Although the last three meetings between these teams produced more than 2.5 goals, the wider numbers indicate that this contest could be more controlled. Newell's have been difficult to beat at home, while Banfield have also collected encouraging results on their recent travels, creating the conditions for a competitive match in Rosario.
Newell's Old Boys return home with renewed confidence following their 2-0 win against Deportivo Riestra on August 15. Across their last five matches, the Rosario side have recorded one victory, two draws and two defeats. They averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game during that sequence, highlighting a balanced recent record in which their attacking and defensive averages have been identical.
Their Liga Profesional de Fútbol season figures stand at five wins, seven draws and nine defeats. Newell's have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded, so defensive consistency has not always been present across the campaign. However, their home record offers a more positive perspective. The team are unbeaten in their last seven matches at home, collecting three victories and four draws. In their two most recent home appearances, they also averaged two goals scored per fixture.
The timing of the action is another important feature of their matches. Fewer than 1.5 first-half goals have been recorded in each of Newell's last 10 home games. They have also failed to be ahead at half-time in 20 of their previous 21 home fixtures. Those trends point toward cautious or closely balanced opening periods rather than immediate control from the hosts.
Newell's matches have tended to become more productive after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 21 of their last 23 games across all competitions, with the same outcome occurring in 20 of their previous 22 Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixtures. Consequently, patience may be important for the home side. Their seven-match unbeaten home sequence provides a strong foundation, but the statistics suggest that their best opportunities may emerge as the contest develops.
Banfield enter this league game shortly after drawing 2-2 with Midland on August 19. They had established a 2-0 advantage before the match was levelled, although they ultimately progressed through the subsequent penalty shootout. The four-goal contest gave Banfield another recent experience of an open game, but their Liga Profesional de Fútbol averages present a more restrained overall picture.
Over their last five matches, Banfield have produced two wins, two draws and one defeat. Like Newell's, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded during that run. Their season record consists of seven victories, four draws and 10 losses, accompanied by averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.1 conceded per league game. Those numbers indicate that their matches have not consistently generated high scoring totals.
The visitors can nevertheless approach this trip with encouragement from their latest away results. Banfield have won two, drawn one and lost one of their previous four games on the road. That return shows that they have been capable of competing away from home, and their midweek progress adds another positive result to their recent sequence. At the same time, the short gap between the Midland match and this fixture gives Banfield a quick transition back to league action.
The visitors also hold the stronger record in the supplied head-to-head summary. From the perspective of Newell's Old Boys, the sequence reads one win, no draws and four defeats, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The latest meeting finished 3-0 on February 21, 2026. Banfield therefore have previous results capable of reinforcing their belief, even though Newell's current home run makes this particular assignment demanding.
The central question is whether the recent high-scoring head-to-head pattern will continue or whether the broader league statistics will carry greater weight. The last three encounters between Newell's Old Boys and Banfield finished with more than 2.5 total goals. Newell's have also seen two of their last three Torneo Clausura matches cross that line, including a 2-2 draw with Boca Juniors and a 2-1 defeat against Defensa y Justicia. Banfield's 2-2 match against Midland adds further evidence that both sides can become involved in open contests.
However, the structured projections lean in a different direction. Under 2.5 goals is assessed at 58%, compared with 42% for over 2.5, while Both Teams To Score is divided between 42% for Yes and 58% for No. The season averages support caution: each team has averaged exactly 1.0 goal scored per league match, while Banfield have conceded 1.1 and Newell's 1.5 on average. The odds also make under 2.5 goals the shorter side of that market at 1.53, compared with 2.40 for over 2.5.
A slow first half is plausible given Newell's sequence of 10 home matches with under 1.5 goals before the break and their failure to lead at half-time in 20 of 21 home games. Yet the strong frequency of second-half goals in their recent fixtures means the match may open up later. This creates a possible pattern in which the teams remain close early before taking greater risks after half-time.
The result probabilities give Newell's a 43% chance of victory, with the draw at 30% and Banfield at 27%. Home advantage is reinforced by Newell's seven-game unbeaten sequence in Rosario, although Banfield's return of two wins and one draw from their last four away fixtures prevents this from looking straightforward. The hosts are priced at 2.30 to win, the draw at 2.90 and Banfield at 3.50. Taken together, the home record and result projections give Newell's the edge, but Banfield's recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest that a closely fought game remains likely.
Newell's Old Boys vs Banfield prediction from BetMines: Newell's Old Boys or Draw (1X) with 73% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Newell's Old Boys
Banfield
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1