The new season of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol continues with an intriguing clash between Newell’s Old Boys and Independiente. The home side will be eager to bounce back after a disappointing start, while the visitors aim to build on their solid opening performance. Scheduled for Tuesday evening, this fixture at the Marcelo Bielsa Stadium promises to be a tight and tactical battle, with both teams aware of the importance of early points in the campaign.

Newell’s Old Boys: Searching for Stability

Newell’s Old Boys began their 2026 season with a 2-1 defeat away to Talleres Córdoba, a result that extended their poor run of form from the previous year. In their last five official matches, they have managed just one win and suffered four losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4. The team’s struggles in front of goal and defensive fragility have been evident, and they will need to improve significantly to avoid another season fighting near the bottom of the table.

Playing at home has not been much of an advantage lately for the Rosario side. They have won only once in their last eight home matches, with four defeats and three draws. However, their games at the Marcelo Bielsa Stadium tend to be low-scoring affairs — Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 17 of their last 17 home fixtures in the league, and in 31 of their last 33 overall. Additionally, they have drawn at half time in seven of their last eight home games, showing a tendency for cautious starts and tight first halves.

• Ranking: 12th in Liga Profesional de Fútbol


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Under 3.5 goals in 31 of last 33 league matches


• Drawn at half time in 7 of last 8 home games

For Newell’s, this home debut is more than just another fixture — it’s a chance to reset their momentum and regain confidence in front of their supporters. A disciplined defensive display and sharper finishing will be key if they are to secure their first points of the season.

Independiente: Building on a Promising Start

Independiente opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against reigning champions Estudiantes. They led at half time but were pegged back early in the second half and had to play with ten men after a red card to Montiel. Despite the setback, the team showed resilience to hold on for a point. Their recent form has been impressive — unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw, averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded per game.

Defensively, the “Rojo” have been extremely solid. In their last 18 matches, Under 3.5 goals has been recorded every time, and at least one team has failed to score in 25 of their last 27 league fixtures. This pattern suggests that their matches are often tight and controlled, with few goal-scoring opportunities for either side. Away from home, they also tend to start cautiously — Under 1.5 goals at half time has occurred in 24 of their last 25 away league games.

• Ranking: 7th in Liga Profesional de Fútbol


• Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.8 | Average conceded: 0.2


• Under 3.5 goals in last 18 matches


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in 24 of last 25 away games

Independiente’s consistency and defensive organization make them a difficult opponent to break down. If they can maintain their composure and efficiency in attack, they have a strong chance of taking points from this trip to Rosario.

Newell’s Old Boys vs Independiente: Analysis and Prediction

Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with Newell’s Old Boys winning three of the last five meetings and Independiente taking two. The most recent encounter ended 2-1, suggesting that while goals can come, both teams often rely on structured play rather than open attacking football. Given the current form and statistical trends, another low-scoring contest seems likely.

Newell’s will look to tighten their defense and avoid early mistakes, while Independiente’s disciplined approach and recent momentum could give them the edge. Both sides have shown a preference for matches with few goals, and the data strongly supports a cautious, tactical battle rather than a high-scoring affair.

Considering the recent performances and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards an Under 2.5 goals outcome with a 62% probability. The visitors also hold a slight advantage in the 1X2 market, with a 45% chance of victory compared to 26% for Newell’s and 29% for a draw. Therefore, a narrow win for Independiente or a low-scoring draw appears the most plausible scenario.

Newell’s Old Boys vs Independiente prediction by BetMines: Under 2.5 goals (62% probability).