The upcoming clash between Newell’s Old Boys and San Lorenzo in the 14th round of the Torneo Apertura promises to be a tense and tactical affair. The home side arrive with renewed confidence after back-to-back victories that lifted them out of the relegation zone, while the visitors continue to show resilience away from home, often turning their matches into tight, low-scoring battles. Both teams will be eager to consolidate their positions in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol standings, with Newell’s sitting 14th and San Lorenzo currently 9th.

Newell’s Old Boys: Building Momentum at Home

Newell’s Old Boys have finally found some rhythm after a difficult start to the season. Their recent 1-3 away victory against Central Córdoba SdE on April 5, followed by another win over Gimnasia de Mendoza, has given them a much-needed boost. These two consecutive triumphs are their only wins so far in the campaign, but they have been enough to inject optimism into the squad and the fans. At home, Newell’s have collected 5 of their 9 total points, showing that the Marcelo Bielsa Stadium remains a key factor in their survival hopes.

Across their last five matches, Newell’s have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. These numbers underline their defensive fragility, but also their growing ability to grind out results when it matters most. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 14 matches, suggesting that their games tend to open up after the break.

• Ranking: 14th in Liga Profesional de Fútbol


• Recent form: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 0.8 scored, 1.9 conceded


• Second-half trend: Over 0.5 goals in last 14 matches

For this encounter, Newell’s will aim to extend their winning streak to three matches, something they have not achieved this season. Their main challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline against a San Lorenzo side that rarely concedes many goals but can be dangerous on the counterattack. A cautious approach, combined with the energy of their home crowd, could be the key to securing at least a point.

San Lorenzo: Consistent but Conservative Away from Home

San Lorenzo come into this fixture after a 1-1 draw against Deportivo Recoleta on April 8 in the Copa Sudamericana. That result extended their run of five consecutive away draws, including four from the current Apertura campaign. Their inability to convert these stalemates into victories has been a recurring issue, but it also highlights their resilience and defensive organization. In fact, they have lost only one of their last twelve visits to Newell’s, a record that will give them confidence heading into this match.

In their last five matches across all competitions, San Lorenzo have registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match. These figures confirm their balanced style of play, where defensive solidity often takes precedence over attacking flair.

• Ranking: 9th in Liga Profesional de Fútbol


• Recent form: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded


• Under 3.5 goals: in 37 of their last 40 matches

San Lorenzo’s away matches tend to be tight and low-scoring. In fact, under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 19 away fixtures, and in 34 of their last 36 league games overall. This pattern suggests that the visitors will likely adopt a pragmatic approach once again, focusing on maintaining control and limiting Newell’s attacking opportunities. Their ability to frustrate opponents on the road could make this another cagey contest.

Newell’s Old Boys vs San Lorenzo: Tactical Overview and Prediction

When these two sides meet, the expectation is for a disciplined and strategic battle rather than an open, high-scoring encounter. The last head-to-head ended 1-1 in July 2024, and the historical record favors Newell’s slightly, with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five meetings. Both teams have shown a tendency to keep matches tight, with few goals and long spells of midfield control.

Newell’s will rely on their improving home form and recent momentum, while San Lorenzo’s consistency and defensive structure make them difficult to break down. Given that both teams average around one goal per game and that San Lorenzo’s away fixtures rarely exceed 2.5 total goals, a low-scoring outcome seems the most plausible scenario. The hosts might have a slight edge due to their current confidence, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Overall, this fixture appears set to be decided by fine margins, with both sides prioritizing stability over risk. Expect a tactical duel where patience and defensive concentration will be crucial.

Newell’s Old Boys vs San Lorenzo prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.