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Prediction published on Jan 30, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Jan 30, 2026 5:03 PM
The clash between OGC Nice and Stade Brestois promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the 20th round of Ligue 1. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this encounter at the Allianz Riviera brings together two sides separated by just one point in the standings. Nice, currently 13th, are looking to build on their recent 4-1 victory over Nantes, while Brest, sitting 12th, aim to bounce back after two consecutive defeats. Both teams have shown attacking potential this season, suggesting that fans could be in for an entertaining match on the French Riviera.
After a difficult run in Europe, Nice were eliminated from the Europa League following a 1-0 loss to Ludogorets on January 29, their seventh defeat in eight continental matches. However, that setback may allow them to focus entirely on domestic competitions. In Ligue 1, the Aiglons have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. Their recent 4-1 triumph over Nantes ended an eight-match winless streak and restored much-needed confidence.
Nice’s matches have been lively in recent weeks. They have conceded at least one goal in their last 16 games and seen over 0.5 goals at half time in each of their last 15 fixtures. At home, the trend continues, with goals before the break in all of their last 10 matches at the Allianz Riviera. Despite these attacking sparks, Nice have often struggled early on, losing at half time in their last three home games in Ligue 1.
In their last five outings across all competitions, Nice have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Offensively, the return of Sofiane Diop and the form of Mohamed-Ali Cho have been crucial. Cho, in particular, has been decisive in two of the last four matches and could once again be a key figure for Claude Puel’s side.
Stade Brestois approach this match after a 0-2 home defeat to Toulouse on January 25, their third loss in four Ligue 1 games. Their overall record this season stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The team’s recent dip in form has seen them slide to 12th place, just one point ahead of Nice.
In their last five fixtures, Brest have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1 goal per game while conceding 1.6. Away from home, they have struggled to impose themselves early, losing at half time in their last four away matches in Ligue 1. Nevertheless, Brest’s defensive pairing of Brendan Chardonnet and Soumaïla Coulibaly remains solid, while Romain Del Castillo’s return from suspension adds creativity and goal threat. The winger has already contributed six goals and two assists this season, making him one of Brest’s most influential players.
Coach Éric Roy’s men will look to rediscover the form that saw them win three consecutive league games earlier in the campaign. With attacking talents such as Ludovic Ajorque and Kamory Doumbia, Brest have the tools to challenge Nice’s defense, which has been far from watertight.
Both teams are positioned in the middle of the Ligue 1 table and share similar strengths and weaknesses. Nice have shown improvement in attack but continue to leak goals, while Brest have been inconsistent, alternating between solid performances and defensive lapses. The last head-to-head meeting ended 4-1 in favor of Nice on September 20, 2025, and the overall record between the two sides slightly favors the hosts, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five encounters.
Given the attacking profiles on both sides and their recent defensive vulnerabilities, this fixture has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair. Nice’s home matches often feature goals in both halves, while Brest’s away form suggests they could find the net despite their recent struggles. The Aiglons will rely on the pace and creativity of Diop and Cho, whereas Brest will look to Del Castillo and Ajorque to make the difference in the final third.
Statistically, the probabilities indicate a 50% chance of a Nice win, 23% for a draw, and 26% for a Brest victory. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 60%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 58% probability. These numbers reinforce the expectation of an open and entertaining contest.
Nice vs Brest prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nice
Brest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2