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Prediction published on May 14, 2025 4:39 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on May 16, 2025 7:35 PM
After losing 2-0 away to Rennes last Saturday, Nice squandered their chance to fight for direct qualification to the next Champions League on the final matchday. The gap to third place has grown to four points with just one game remaining, meaning the only achievable goal now is to hold onto fourth place, which still grants access to the Champions League qualifiers—a great achievement considering last season they finished fifth and qualified for the Europa League. However, nothing is secured yet. Nice needs a win in this final match against Brest, a team with nothing left to play for this season, to avoid being overtaken at the finish line by Lille and Strasbourg, who are level on points but behind on goal difference—or even by Olympique Lyon, who sit three points behind in seventh. Sitting atop this cluster of teams, Franck Haise’s side controls its own fate and will take the pitch with one clear objective: securing all three points. Their opponents, Brest, after surprising everyone last season with an unexpected third-place finish, have returned to a more familiar level of performance this year. The team likely struggled with the demands of playing two matches per week. Even without any remaining league ambitions, Brest has been honoring the competition, coming off back-to-back wins against Montpellier and Reims. While all the motivation lies with the home side, don’t expect Roy’s men to show up on the French Riviera already in vacation mode.
Nice are coming off a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Rennes, which not only snapped a four-game unbeaten run but also ended their hopes of finishing third. In their last five matches, Haise’s men have picked up three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. One of the standout performers has been Morgan Sanson, who has scored three goals in his last three appearances after returning from a long injury in April.
The Eagles sit on 57 points from 16 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with 60 goals scored and 41 conceded in 33 games. At home in Ligue 1, they’ve earned 34 points, losing just twice—both defeats coming between March and April. They average two goals per home match and concede just under one. They’ve won their last two home games: 2-1 vs Angers and 1-0 vs Reims.
Brest are aiming to close their season with dignity, having won their last two matches against Montpellier and Lille without conceding. In their most recent game, they convincingly beat Lille 2-0 thanks to goals from Ludovic Ajorque and Kamory Doumbia. Despite these results, the last five rounds have highlighted defensive issues, with Brest conceding an average of 2 goals per game while scoring 1.6.
Away from home, Brest’s campaign has been disappointing. They’ve collected just 17 points from 16 away matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses). One of Eric Roy’s team’s biggest problems is their defense—Brest has one of the worst away defensive records in Ligue 1, with 32 goals conceded. That said, they’ve scored in each of their last four away games, including four against Toulouse and three against Saint-Étienne.
Nice must win to secure fourth place and qualify for the 2025/26 Champions League qualifiers. That means they’re expected to come out aggressively from the first whistle, looking to score early—just as they’ve done in four of their last five matches. Brest, on the other hand, will play with freedom but remain competitive, as they've shown in recent games.
Roy’s team has scored and conceded in five of their last seven games, and the same is true for Nice in six of their last eight. This suggests a high-scoring affair, especially since both sides have been involved in at least three-goal games in five of their last seven outings.
As for the result, the Nice vs Brest prediction for Matchday 34 in Ligue 1, based on the BetMines algorithm, forecasts a game with goals from both teams.
NICE (3-5-2): Bulka; Dante, Bombito, Bard; Clauss, Boudaoui, Boga, Sanson, Abdi; Guessand, Laborde.
Manager: Franck Haise
BREST (4-3-3): Bizot; Lala, Fernandes, N'Diaye, Haidara; Camara, Magnetti, Doumbia; Del Castillo, Pereira-Lage, Ajorque. Manager: Eric Roy
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nice
Brest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2