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Prediction published on Apr 10, 2026 4:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Apr 10, 2026 4:01 PM
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between OGC Nice and Le Havre AC promises to be a tense and decisive encounter in the battle to avoid relegation. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this fixture at the Allianz Riviera could have major implications for both sides’ survival hopes. The home team sits in 15th place, just one point behind their visitors, who occupy 14th. With only a handful of matches left in the season, every point counts, and both clubs will be desperate to secure a result that keeps them above the drop zone.
Nice enter this match under pressure after a difficult run of results. Their recent 3-1 defeat to Strasbourg on April 4 extended a poor sequence of form, with just one win in their last five Ligue 1 outings. Over that stretch, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 2.2. Across the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match.
The Aiglons have also struggled to start games strongly, having lost at half time in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches, including 9 of their last 13 at home. This trend highlights a recurring issue in their performances — slow starts that leave them chasing games. However, playing at home could provide a much-needed boost. Their last head-to-head meeting with Le Havre ended in a 3-1 victory, a result they will hope to replicate to regain confidence and momentum.
Despite their struggles, there are reasons for optimism. The team’s attacking line, led by key forwards, has shown flashes of quality, and the home crowd could play a crucial role in pushing them forward. With the season entering its decisive phase, Nice must rediscover their defensive discipline and capitalize on their chances if they are to climb away from danger.
Le Havre approach this fixture in similarly poor form. They drew 1-1 against Auxerre on April 5, extending their winless streak to six league matches. Over their last five games, they have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match while conceding 1.4. Their overall Ligue 1 record stands at 6 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
One of the most striking statistics is their difficulty in taking control of matches early. Le Havre have not led at half time in any of their last 16 away games and have lost at half time in their last four on the road. In fact, they have failed to win at half time in 25 of their last 26 matches overall. This pattern suggests a cautious approach that often leaves them vulnerable to early setbacks.
Defensively, Le Havre tend to keep matches tight. Under 3.5 goals have been scored in 20 of their last 21 Ligue 1 fixtures, reflecting their compact style and limited attacking output. However, their away form remains a major concern, with nine defeats in 13 away matches this season. To get a result in Nice, they will need to show greater resilience and efficiency in front of goal.
This encounter is shaping up to be a classic relegation six-pointer. Both teams are struggling for form, and the psychological pressure will be immense. Nice have the advantage of playing at home, where they will look to dictate the tempo and press high to unsettle their opponents. Their challenge will be to convert possession into goals, something they have failed to do consistently in recent weeks.
Le Havre, on the other hand, are likely to adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive organization and counterattacks. Their recent matches have been low-scoring, and they may aim to frustrate Nice by keeping the game tight and capitalizing on any defensive lapses. Given both teams’ struggles in front of goal, the match could hinge on a single moment of brilliance or a defensive mistake.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with both sides winning three of their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Nice, a result that could give the home side a psychological edge. However, with both teams desperate for points, the intensity and physicality of this match are expected to be high from the first whistle.
With both sides struggling to find consistency, this match could be decided by small margins. Nice have the home advantage and a slightly stronger attacking record, while Le Havre rely on defensive solidity but lack cutting edge up front. The statistics suggest a tight contest, but the hosts’ need for victory and their previous success in this fixture could tilt the balance in their favor.
Nice vs Le Havre prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nice
Le Havre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
4
6
0
10
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1