The 25th round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash this Sunday at 17:15, as OGC Nice host Stade Rennais at the Allianz Riviera. The home side are struggling in the lower half of the table, sitting 15th with only a small cushion above the relegation zone. Despite their difficulties in the league, Nice recently found some relief in the Coupe de France, where they reached the semi-finals after a dramatic penalty shootout win over Lorient. However, they now face a tough challenge against one of the most in-form teams in the competition.

Nice’s Recent Form and Key Stats

OGC Nice have endured a difficult run in Ligue 1, failing to win any of their last five matches. Their most recent league outing ended in a goalless draw against Lorient on March 4, 2026. Over this stretch, they have recorded three draws and two defeats, scoring an average of just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. The lack of attacking efficiency has been a major concern for Claude Puel’s men, who started the season with European ambitions but now find themselves fighting to avoid the drop.

Across the season, Nice’s record stands at six wins, six draws and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their first-half performances have been particularly problematic: they have lost at half time in nine of their last twelve Ligue 1 fixtures, and in seven of their last eleven home games. On the other hand, their matches tend to start lively, with over 0.5 goals scored before the break in 18 of their last 20 league encounters.

Injuries have also played a role in their struggles. Several key players remain sidelined, including Moïse Bombito, Mohamed Abdelmonem and Youssouf Ndayishimiye, who are close to returning but still unavailable. Everton, Isak Jansson and Elye Wahi are also out. Nevertheless, goalkeeper Maxime Dupé has been a consistent performer, while Kaïl Boudache has impressed in midfield. Up front, Tom Louchet has shown flashes of form, notably scoring twice in the recent cup victory over Lorient.

Rennes’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Stade Rennais arrive on the Côte d’Azur in excellent shape. Under the guidance of Franck Haise, the Breton side have won their last three Ligue 1 matches, defeating PSG (3-1), Auxerre (0-3) and Toulouse (1-0). This strong run has lifted them to sixth place in the standings, just three points shy of the top four and a potential Champions League qualification spot. With only the league left to focus on, Rennes are determined to maintain their momentum and continue their climb up the table.

In their last five matches, Rennes have collected three wins and two losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall season record stands at eleven wins, seven draws and six defeats, with a goal difference that reflects their attacking intent. They have also shown strength in the first half, leading at the break in each of their last three Ligue 1 outings. Away from home, their matches tend to open up after the interval, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 away fixtures.

In terms of personnel, Jérémy Jacquet and Glen Kamara remain unavailable, while Przemysław Frankowski is doubtful. Goalkeeper Brice Samba has rediscovered his best form, keeping two consecutive clean sheets in the league. In midfield, Mahdi Camara and Valentin Rongier continue to provide balance and control, while in attack, Estéban Lepaul has been the standout performer, scoring three goals in his last four Ligue 1 appearances. His sharp finishing could once again prove decisive in this encounter.

Nice vs Rennes Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting dynamics. Nice are struggling to find consistency and goals, while Rennes are enjoying a surge in confidence and results. The visitors’ recent form suggests they are capable of extending their winning streak, especially against a team that has failed to score in three of its last five league games. Historically, the head-to-head record is balanced, with Nice winning three and Rennes two of their last five meetings, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match.

Given the current trends, a tight contest is expected, but Rennes appear better equipped to control proceedings. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity under Haise make them slight favourites to take points from this trip. Nice, meanwhile, will rely on home support and a disciplined performance to halt their negative run.

BetMines Prediction:
Based on the latest data and performance indicators, the recommended pick for this match is “Stade Rennais not to lose and under 4.5 total goals”. This outcome reflects Rennes’s strong form and Nice’s ongoing offensive struggles, suggesting a controlled game with limited scoring opportunities.