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Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 1:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 1:03 PM
Nice host Strasbourg at the Allianz Riviera on October 11, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. The Ligue 1 match brings together two sides looking to build momentum after contrasting starts. Nice failed to win any of their first four league games but broke that run with a 2-1 victory over LOSC Lille before the international break. Strasbourg have won twice in five matches and arrive after a 2-1 defeat to Paris FC. Nice sit 14th and Strasbourg eighth, but their recent results suggest a closer contest than those positions alone might imply.
Nice opened their league campaign with draws against FC Lorient and Le Mans FC, alongside defeats to Paris FC and AJ Auxerre. Those four matches produced just one goal for Nice, making the subsequent win over LOSC Lille particularly welcome. Mohamed Amoura scored his first Nice goal in that 2-1 success, while Yehvann Diouf delivered a strong performance in goal. The result gave Olivier Pantaloni's side their first league victory of the season and a more encouraging result to take into the break.
Across five Ligue 1 matches, Nice have one win, two draws and two defeats. They are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their results have generally been low-scoring: each of their last 11 Ligue 1 matches has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals. Three of their last 10 league home matches ended without a goal for either team, although Nice did score in each of their two most recent home fixtures, according to the match account. Whether they can carry their improved finishing against Lille into this fixture is an important question.
Pantaloni still has longer-term absences to manage, with Antoine Mendy, Moïse Bombito and Laurent Abergel unavailable. The Lille match also offered signs of individual form: Jonathan Clauss has been making regular starts, Axel Witsel has established himself in midfield, and Amoura arrives having opened his scoring account for the club. Nice will hope that contribution proves the start of a more productive spell in front of goal.
Strasbourg have experienced a more eventful first five league matches. After a 4-0 opening defeat to OM, Hugo Oliveira's side responded with a 2-1 win over RC Lens and a 6-2 victory against ES Troyes AC. They then drew 1-1 with AS Monaco before losing 2-1 away to Paris FC on September 19. That setback interrupted a three-match unbeaten sequence, but Strasbourg have already shown that they can respond to a defeat.
The visitors' league record stands at two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their matches have featured an average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded by Strasbourg. Their attacking output is the clearest contrast with Nice's early-season figures: Strasbourg have scored 10 goals in five Ligue 1 games, and each of their last 13 league matches has featured more than 1.5 total goals. At the other end, they have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 Ligue 1 fixtures, a run that extends to 14 matches across all competitions.
There are absences for Oliveira to contend with. Maxi Oyedele, Martial Godo, Deivid Washington and Joaquin Panichelli are unavailable, while Ismaël Doukouré, Jeyland Mitchell and Oso are uncertain. In attack, Gessime Yassine has registered two league goals and one assist, and Jacobo Ortega will be looking to score in this meeting. Strasbourg have options capable of troubling Nice, even if their record of conceding gives the hosts encouragement.
This fixture sets Nice's relatively restrained scoring record against a Strasbourg side whose games have regularly produced goals. Nice's victory over Lille changed the tone of their start to the season, but 0.6 goals per league match remains a modest average. Strasbourg, by contrast, have scored twice per match on average while also conceding at the same rate. The visitors' attacking numbers suggest they can pose a threat at the Allianz Riviera; their defensive run suggests Nice should have opportunities of their own.
The recent results underline both possibilities. Nice found two goals against Lille after drawing blanks against FC Lorient, Paris FC and AJ Auxerre earlier in the campaign. Strasbourg scored against RC Lens, ES Troyes AC, AS Monaco and Paris FC, but also conceded in every one of those games. Nice's run of matches under 3.5 total goals argues against assuming this will become an especially high-scoring encounter. At the same time, Strasbourg's record makes it difficult to overlook the prospect of goals at both ends.
Nice will try to turn their first win into sustained progress, while Strasbourg seek an immediate response to their loss at Paris FC. The hosts have the benefit of playing at the Allianz Riviera and arrive with renewed confidence; the visitors bring the stronger scoring average but have yet to keep opponents out consistently. Those competing trends make each side's ability to convert its chances central to this Ligue 1 preview.
Nice vs Strasbourg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nice
Strasbourg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2