North Macedonia host Slovenia at Toše Proeski Arena in Skopje on November 16, 2026, with both sides approaching their final UEFA Nations League Group B1 match after winless outings. North Macedonia are fourth in the group and have lost all five of their matches, while second-placed Slovenia need a victory to guarantee a top-two finish. The visitors won the reverse fixture 2-0, but North Macedonia scored their first group goal in their latest defeat and will hope to build on that small improvement. With Slovenia coming off a draw against group leaders Switzerland, this match brings together a home side searching for its first point and an away side with a clear result to chase.

North Macedonia's Recent Form and Key Stats

North Macedonia fell 2-1 to Scotland on November 13. Although that result extended their losing start to five UEFA Nations League games, it also brought their first goal of the group campaign. Their record in the competition stands at 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats, with averages of 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Those figures underline the difficulty they have had turning chances into goals while keeping opponents out.

The Scotland defeat also formed part of a broader run of eight consecutive losses. North Macedonia have gone 13 matches without a win, recording five draws and eight defeats in that stretch. A home meeting with Slovenia gives them one last opportunity to change the direction of this group campaign, although the first encounter ended in a 2-0 defeat.

Their scoring patterns offer further context for this fixture. At least one team has failed to score before half-time in 30 of North Macedonia's last 31 matches, and 18 of their last 20 UEFA Nations League games have featured fewer than two first-half goals. By contrast, their matches have regularly produced a goal after the interval: the second half has contained at least one goal in each of their last 13 games in the competition and each of their last 14 home matches.

Slovenia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Slovenia travel to Skopje after a 0-0 draw with Switzerland on November 13. They were the first team in Group B1 to prevent the group leaders from winning, extending their own unbeaten sequence to two matches. Slovenia sit second with a UEFA Nations League record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; their only loss in the group came against Switzerland. A win over North Macedonia would secure a top-two finish without Slovenia needing to rely on the outcome of Scotland's match.

Across their last five matches, Slovenia have taken two wins and two draws alongside one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded. That is a steadier set of results than North Macedonia's, and Slovenia also have the 2-0 win from the September 29 meeting to draw upon. Still, the scoreless draw with Switzerland shows that a positive result does not necessarily have to come through a high-scoring performance.

Indeed, Slovenia's last 12 matches have each finished with fewer than four total goals, as have their last 14 away games. Six of their last 15 matches have ended without a goal from either side, including four of their last 10 UEFA Nations League fixtures. Slovenia have also not led at half-time in any of their last 19 matches. Those trends point to a side whose games often remain close, even as they pursue the win they need here.

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Match Analysis

The contrast in group results is clear: North Macedonia have yet to earn a point, whereas Slovenia arrive in second place with just one defeat. The visitors' reverse-fixture victory and stronger five-match record give them encouragement, but North Macedonia's first goal of the campaign against Scotland leaves the hosts with something to build on in their final outing. Slovenia, meanwhile, have the added incentive of knowing exactly what a win would secure.

The goal trends suggest this could be decided without a large scoreline. North Macedonia's last 13 UEFA Nations League matches have all contained fewer than four goals, a pattern mirrored by Slovenia's last 12 matches across all competitions. Slovenia's recent goalless results and North Macedonia's average of 0.2 goals scored per group game strengthen the case for a restrained total. The timing is worth watching, too: North Macedonia's matches have frequently produced second-half goals despite their many low-scoring first halves, while Slovenia have repeatedly reached the interval without a lead.

Slovenia's 2-0 win in the previous meeting shows they can get the result they require without an open contest. North Macedonia's goal in Scotland offers a reason not to dismiss their chances of contributing, but the longer attacking record remains limited. Taken together, the recent scores and group statistics make the number of goals the central question in this UEFA Nations League preview.

North Macedonia vs Slovenia prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.