Northern Ireland host Georgia at Windsor Park in Belfast on October 5, 2026, for a UEFA Nations League Group B2 match with contrasting stakes for the two sides. Northern Ireland lead the group with seven points from three games and are unbeaten in this campaign. Georgia sit fourth with one point and are still searching for their first win. A 3-0 victory away to Ukraine has strengthened the hosts’ promotion prospects, while Georgia arrive after a 1-0 defeat in Hungary. Northern Ireland also won the teams’ first group meeting 1-0, giving the visitors another challenge as they try to change the course of their campaign.

Northern Ireland's Recent Form and Key Stats

Northern Ireland have opened their Nations League campaign with two wins and a draw. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored per match and have yet to concede in the competition. Their latest result, the 3-0 win over Ukraine on October 2, left them three points clear at the top of Group B2. It was another clean sheet in a campaign built on keeping opponents off the scoresheet.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Northern Ireland have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 0.6. Their broader home record is also encouraging: they have won seven of their last 10 home games. That record gives them a useful platform for this fixture, although their group lead will still need to be backed up by a result on the pitch.

The most striking home statistic concerns goals for both sides. At least one team has failed to score in each of Northern Ireland’s last 13 home matches. That run does not, by itself, guarantee another clean sheet, but it shows how rarely those fixtures have featured goals from both teams. With Northern Ireland yet to concede in this Nations League campaign, their defensive record is central to the preview of this match.

Georgia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Georgia have taken one point from their first three Group B2 games, drawing once and losing twice. They are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match in this Nations League campaign. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 loss to Hungary on October 2, leaving them without a win in the group and increasing the importance of a positive result in Belfast.

The visitors’ last five matches across all competitions tell a somewhat different story from their group record: one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In competitive matches, however, their winless sequence stands at seven games. They have also lost four consecutive competitive away fixtures, making this trip a demanding test of their ability to respond.

Georgia have not drawn any of their last 17 away matches, and they have been behind at half-time in each of their last four away games. Those figures do not determine what will happen at Windsor Park, but they underline the difficulty of relying on a steady start away from home. Ramaz Svanadze has replaced Willy Sagnol as manager, yet Georgia’s opening three Nations League results have left them looking for a first victory in the group.

Northern Ireland vs Georgia Match Analysis

The first Group B2 meeting offers a useful reference point: Northern Ireland beat Georgia 1-0 on September 25. The hosts have won both recorded head-to-head matches, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding 0.5 across those two games. The earlier friendly finished 4-1, so the meetings have not followed a single scoring pattern, but Northern Ireland have won on both occasions.

This fixture brings together an unbeaten group leader that has not conceded in the competition and a fourth-placed side that has not scored in its first three group matches. Northern Ireland’s seven wins in 10 home games add to the case for the hosts, while Georgia’s four straight competitive away defeats highlight the visitors’ task. At the same time, Northern Ireland’s last-five record includes a defeat, so their strong Nations League start should not be mistaken for an uninterrupted winning run across all competitions.

The goals markets also deserve attention. Under 2.5 goals is assigned a 59% probability in the supplied figures, and the previous group meeting produced just one goal. More specifically, Northern Ireland’s long sequence of home matches in which at least one side did not score aligns with the current group scoring records: Northern Ireland have conceded none, while Georgia have scored none. Georgia will be seeking to reverse that attacking record, but the available evidence makes whether both sides can score a defining question for this match.

Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (No) with 54% probability.