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Prediction published on Oct 9, 2025 6:07 PM by Dario in Europe - WC Qualification Europe | Modified on Oct 9, 2025 7:26 PM
Norway continue their impressive march in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers as they prepare to host Israel in Oslo on Saturday. This Group I encounter carries major implications for both sides, with Norway sitting top of the table and Israel currently in third place. The home team are edging closer to sealing their return to the world stage, while the visitors aim to keep their qualification hopes alive despite recent defensive struggles.
After a resounding 11-1 victory over Moldova on September 9, Norway have firmly established themselves as the dominant force in Group I. They have collected 15 points from five matches, scoring an astonishing 24 goals and conceding only three. Their attacking power, led by a generation of talented forwards, has been unmatched so far in the qualifiers.
Norway’s consistency extends beyond this campaign. They are currently on an eight-match winning streak across all competitions and have triumphed in their last seven home fixtures. Their defensive record is equally impressive, with an average of just 0.6 goals conceded per game in the qualifiers. Moreover, they have not trailed at half time in any of their last 18 matches, underlining their ability to control games from the outset.
At home, Norway’s dominance is even clearer. They have won at half time in four consecutive home matches and in seven of their last ten overall. The team’s tactical balance and attacking depth have made them one of the most efficient sides in Europe’s qualifying rounds. With 23 goals scored and only four conceded in this group, they are on the verge of securing a long-awaited return to the World Cup, their first since 1998.
Israel arrive in Oslo after a dramatic 4-5 defeat to Italy on September 8, a match that showcased both their attacking flair and defensive fragility. Despite leading twice, they were undone by late goals, ending a run of three consecutive victories. Still, their offensive numbers remain strong, with eight goals scored in their last two qualifiers.
In the current campaign, Israel have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per match but conceding 2.2. Their attacking approach has produced entertaining football, yet their defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 13 qualifiers, and they have kept only four clean sheets in their last ten games.
Israel’s away form has been particularly volatile. While they have managed to score consistently, they have also allowed goals in nearly every outing. In fact, over 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last seven away qualifiers. Their challenge in Norway will be to contain a side that rarely fails to score at home. Historically, Israel have struggled against top-tier European opposition, and this fixture will test their defensive organization to the limit.
Both teams are known for their attacking intent, which suggests an open and entertaining contest. Norway’s high-pressing style and quick transitions have overwhelmed opponents throughout the qualifiers, while Israel’s front line has shown the ability to exploit spaces and create chances even against stronger defenses. However, the key difference lies in defensive discipline: Norway’s back line has been compact and efficient, whereas Israel’s has been inconsistent.
In their previous head-to-head meeting earlier in the campaign, Norway triumphed 4-2, underlining their superiority in both physicality and finishing. Given their current form, the hosts are expected to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. Israel’s best hope may lie in counterattacks, relying on their pace up front to catch Norway off guard. Yet, with the home side’s confidence and momentum, it will take a near-perfect performance from the visitors to secure a result.
Norway’s attacking rhythm, combined with their strong home record, makes them clear favorites. Israel’s tendency to concede late goals could once again prove costly, especially against a team that thrives on sustained pressure. Expect Norway to control the tempo and look to seal qualification early, while Israel will aim to make their mark on the scoreboard despite their defensive vulnerabilities.
Norway vs Israel prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Home Win (1) with a 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Norway
Israel
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
5
5
3
7
4.5
6
4
6
4