Norway host Wales on November 14, 2026, in a UEFA Nations League Group A4 match that matters to both teams’ hopes of staying in League A. Norway sit fourth and Wales third, with each side taking three points from four group games. Both won promotion from League B in the previous edition, but both have since lost three of their first four fixtures. Norway have scored in every group match yet repeatedly conceded after taking the lead, while Wales arrive having won the reverse meeting 2-1. Their meeting at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo is Norway’s final home fixture of the group campaign.

Norway’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Norway’s Nations League campaign began with a 3-2 home win over Denmark, in which Erling Haaland scored twice. That promising start has given way to three consecutive defeats, all by 2-1: at home to Portugal, away to Wales and, most recently, away to Portugal on October 4. Norway led in the losses to Wales and Portugal but could not hold on, leaving them with a clear problem to address despite their ability to score.

The contrast with their World Cup run to the quarter-finals this summer is sharp. Norway’s record in Group A4 stands at one win and three defeats, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have one win, one draw and three losses, averaging 1.4 goals for and 1.8 against. Haaland has scored three times in this Nations League group, but Norway’s results show that finding the net has not been enough.

That pattern extends well beyond the group. Norway have scored in their last 25 matches, conceded in their last 14 and seen both teams score in each of those 14. They have also scored in their last 13 home games, with at least two total goals in each of those fixtures. Six of their last eight home matches have featured goals for both sides. Norway have gone ahead in three of their four group games, so preserving any advantage could be just as important as creating one against Wales.

Wales’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Wales also have one win and three defeats in Group A4. Their opening away assignments against Portugal and Denmark both ended in losses before they beat Norway 2-1 at home on October 1. A 1-0 home defeat to Denmark followed on October 4. The Dragons sit third, three points behind second-placed Denmark, and finish the group with a home match against Portugal after their trip to Norway.

Goals have been harder to come by for Wales than for their hosts. Their Nations League averages are 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while their last five games have brought one win, four defeats and an average of 0.6 goals scored. Their victory over Norway remains an important reference point, though: they came from behind in that meeting and have now won the last three head-to-head matches covered by the supplied record.

Wales have Harry Wilson and Joe Rodon back in the squad after absences, and Rubin Colwill has been recalled. Midfielder Jordan James was injured at the weekend. With Wales seeking points to keep their qualification hopes alive, they will look to repeat their success from the reverse fixture, although their recent scoring figures underline the challenge of doing so away from home.

Norway vs Wales Match Analysis

The central question is whether Norway can turn regular goals into a result. Their scoring streak, home scoring record and three goals from Haaland in the group give them reasons for encouragement. Yet the 14-match run without a clean sheet leaves an opening for Wales, who have already scored twice against them in this campaign. Norway have not beaten Wales since 2001, adding another point of interest to this rematch.

Wales’ recent results offer a counterweight to Norway’s attacking numbers. They have lost four of their last five matches and scored sparingly across the group, including no goal in their latest defeat to Denmark. On the other hand, four of their last six meetings with Norway have seen both teams score. That head-to-head trend and Norway’s persistent defensive difficulties suggest Wales can have opportunities even if the hosts produce another strong scoring display.

Both sides have reason to pursue more than a draw: Norway are trying to improve on fourth place, while Wales remain within reach of Denmark in second. The reverse fixture showed how quickly this contest can change after an opening goal. For Norway, the priority is to avoid another lost lead; for Wales, it is to make the most of a defence that has conceded in 14 straight matches. Those competing pressures make goals at both ends a credible outcome, despite Wales’ modest recent scoring average.

Norway vs Wales prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.