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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 12-04-2026

Nottingham Forest

1 - 1

FT

Aston Villa

The City Ground
Michael Salisbury
light rain 11.01 °C

Prediction published on Apr 10, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Apr 10, 2026 3:03 PM

The upcoming Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa promises to be a thrilling encounter with major implications at both ends of the table. The hosts are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while the visitors are pushing hard for a Champions League spot. With both sides coming off midweek European commitments, fatigue and rotation could play a key role in determining the outcome of this Matchday 32 fixture at the City Ground.


Nottingham Forest’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Nottingham Forest enter this match sitting 16th in the Premier League standings, having collected 8 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats so far this season. Their average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game highlights a team that often struggles to find the net while remaining vulnerable at the back. Despite a recent improvement in overall form, their home performances have been disappointing, with no wins in their last six matches at the City Ground across all competitions.


The Tricky Trees drew 1-1 away to Porto in the Europa League on April 9, extending their unbeaten run to four matches in all competitions (2 wins, 2 draws). In their last five outings, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game, showing signs of defensive solidity. However, they have scored the fewest home goals in the league this season, with only 13 goals in 15 home fixtures.



  • Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 3 of their last 10 home Premier League matches.

  • Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 3 of their last 10 league matches overall.

  • Head-to-head record vs Aston Villa: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.


Forest’s recent performances suggest a team capable of grinding out results, but their lack of attacking consistency remains a concern. They will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents if they are to secure a much-needed home victory.


Aston Villa’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Aston Villa travel to Nottingham in excellent form, sitting 4th in the Premier League with 16 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, reflecting a balanced approach between attack and defense. The Villans are coming off a strong 3-1 away victory over Bologna in the Europa League on April 9, a result that extended their impressive run of four wins in their last five matches across all competitions.


In the league, Aston Villa ended a four-game winless streak before the international break with a 2-0 home win against West Ham United. However, their away form has been less convincing, with no wins in their last three league trips (1 draw, 2 defeats). Despite this, they remain one of the most dangerous attacking sides in the division, particularly in the second half of matches.



  • Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 11 matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 20 of their last 22 Premier League games.

  • Under 1.5 goals at half time in 19 of their last 21 matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away matches.


These trends underline Aston Villa’s tendency to grow into games, often finding their rhythm after the break. Their attacking depth and ability to score late could prove decisive against a Forest side that has struggled to maintain focus in the latter stages of matches.


Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar levels of motivation. Nottingham Forest are desperate to secure points to avoid being dragged into the relegation battle, while Aston Villa are determined to strengthen their grip on a top-four finish. Both sides are expected to rotate their squads slightly due to their European commitments, which could lead to an open and unpredictable contest.


Forest’s defensive organization has improved in recent weeks, but their lack of cutting edge in front of goal remains a major issue. On the other hand, Villa’s attacking momentum and ability to score in the second half make them a constant threat. The last head-to-head meeting between these sides ended 3-1 in favor of Aston Villa, and another high-scoring encounter cannot be ruled out.


Given the attacking potential of both teams and their recent scoring patterns, this match could feature multiple goals. Forest’s home struggles and Villa’s second-half strength suggest that the visitors might have a slight edge, but a draw remains a realistic outcome considering the hosts’ resilience.


BetMines Prediction


Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.


The data points toward an entertaining match with several scoring opportunities. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score regularly, and with the stakes high for both sides, an open game with at least three goals appears to be the most likely scenario.

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa - Predictions

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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

4

Aston Villa

38

19

8

11

56:49

65

1.71

L
L
D
W
W
16

Nottingham Forest

38

11

11

16

48:51

44

1.16

W
W
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa be played?
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa will be played on April 12, 2026 at 13:00.
Where will Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa be played?
The match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa will be played at The City Ground, Nottingham - England
Who will referee Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?
The referee for the match will be Michael Salisbury.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa in the Premier League?
The odds are: Nottingham Forest to win 2.60, draw 3.30, Aston Villa to win 2.70.
What are the betting odds for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest won 2 times, Aston Villa won 3, and 0 ended in a draw.

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